2008 Monaco Grand Prix predictions

Fernando Alonso, Lewis Hamilton, Monte-Carlo, 2007, 470150

Last year’s Monaco Grand Prix was all about best buddies Fernando Alonso and Lewis Hamilton. Hamilton headed the practice times yesterday, but Alonso will have his work cut out to notch up a third consecutive Monte-Carlo victory.

Who will win F1′s most prestigious race? Read my prediction and make your own below…

Hamilton’s been quick in practice, he was very quick last year, so he’s a shoo-in for victory, right?

Maybe… and maybe not. In Monaco, nothing is every that straightforward, especially if it rains. But in four appearances at the principality Hamilton has two F3 wins, one GP2 win, and one F1 second place to his name. With his McLaren looking on the pace this weekend, he is a favourite for victory, rain or shine.

Ferrari haven’t won at Monaco since 2001 and have admitted to having difficulties with Bridgestone’s super-soft tyre this weekend. Kimi Raikkonen doesn’t need to go throwing points away by making the kind of mistake he did in qualifying last year, so I’d expect him to be conservative this weekend.

Nonetheless his team mate Felipe Massa has never really shone here and admits he dislikes the Monte-Carlo circuit, so I’d expect Raikkonen to be ahead of him.

That leaves three questions: how close will Heikki Kovalainen be to Hamilton, how quick will the BMWs be, and can Fernando Alonso or another outsider get in the mix for victory?

Although he had an excellent run last time out at Istnabul, I expect Kovalainen to be behind Hamilton this weekend. But we shouldn’t underestimate how good he is here – he would ahve won the GP2 race in 2005 but for a problem at his pit stop, and his race last year was ruined by David Coulthard baulking him in qualifying.

BMW seem to be finding their F1.08 tricky to set up, and despite being very quick are not consistently at the same level week in, week out. Robert Kubica has been out-pacing Nick Heidfeld and given his excellent qualifying form he must be a threat for pole position. And at Monaco, that means you’re a contender for race victory as well.

That leaves us with the outsiders. As a twice winner of the race Alonso looks like a good outside bit, but in practice the most eye-catching driver has been Williams’ Nico Rosberg. But realistically, their not going to be in contention unless it rains or they get very lucky with the safety car.

So what prediction does that leave us with? I’m going to go for a McLaren one-two, with Hamilton heading Kovalainen, and Raikkonen in third.

1. Lewis Hamilton
2. Heikki Kovalainen
3. Kimi Raikkonen

Who do you think will win the Monaco Grand Prix?

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19 comments on 2008 Monaco Grand Prix predictions

  1. cyanide said on 23rd May 2008, 20:14

    1. Lewis Hamilton
    2. Robert Kubica
    3. Fernando Alonso

  2. Gman said on 23rd May 2008, 20:18

    1. Hamilton
    2. Raikkonen
    3. Alonso

  3. Dry Race
    1. Hamilton
    2. Raikkonen
    3. Kovalainen

    Wet/Mixed Race
    1. Kovalainen
    2. Alonso
    3. Button

  4. DRY
    1. Lewis
    2. Heikki
    3. Kimi

    WET
    1. Lewis
    2. Kimi
    3. Heikki

  5. Arun said on 23rd May 2008, 21:02

    Mine’s gonna be either awesome or plain idiotic:

    1. Kubica
    2. Lewis
    3. Nico.. EOS

  6. Toncho said on 23rd May 2008, 21:03

    1 – Kimi
    2 – Hamilton
    3 – Kubica

  7. Oliver said on 23rd May 2008, 21:23

    I have absolutely no idea. If it rains, even the pole guy isn’t safe.

  8. RAIN
    1. Alonso
    2. Button
    3. Heidfeld

    If I am right, I’ll eat my own ears.

  9. Dry
    Kubica
    Hamilton
    Raikkonen

    Wet
    Raikkonen
    Rosberg
    Coulthard

    (But Beloved Other Half said, if dry, Hamilton / Raikkonen / Massa.)

  10. theRoswellite said on 24th May 2008, 0:04

    My money….Ham, Kim, Kub, my heart…Nico, Mark, Jensen, and my prayers…all standing after the bell.

  11. the limit said on 24th May 2008, 3:51

    I like the point about Raikkonen being ‘defensive’, that may certainly be his tactic for this weekend. Lewis Hamilton and McLaren don’t just need to win, they need Ferrari and Raikkonen especially to drop some serious points this weekend.
    With Raikkonen leading the championship, the key is to remain consistent. He won the title last year by being consistent in the closing stages of the season, and by
    making the most out of the mistakes of others.
    I think that Hamilton just may nick it, but with Raikkonen hot on his heels. If it does rain, and its a steady rain, then thats one thing, but if the start of the race is dry and then it rains, then that is something different.
    Being on pole under those circumstances may not be that much of an advantage, as strategies are changed quickly and under intense pressure.
    I am really hoping that the weather conditions are like this on Sunday.
    My prediction is.

    1.Lewis Hamilton
    2.Kimi Raikkonen
    3.Heikki Kovalainen
    4.Felipe Massa

  12. Lewis Hamilton
    Kimi Raikkonen
    Hekki Kovalainen

    Robert Kubica
    Nico Rosberger
    Jenson Button
    Nick Heidfeld
    Mark Webber

    It’s very difficult to make any predictions for a wet race,but I think MP4-23 have a liitle advantage,Lewis will have the chance to win!

  13. sChUmAcHeRtHeGrEaTeStEvEr said on 24th May 2008, 9:05

    Hamilton
    raikkonen
    kubica

  14. Dry
    Hamilton
    Kovi
    Kubica

    Wet
    Anyone (Vettel?)
    Anyone (Buton?)
    Anyone (Fishi?)

    Does anybody remember when only four cars finished on wet condition? Which year was it?

  15. ninguen said on 24th May 2008, 11:25

    in 1996, and actually only 3 cars crossed the line, the fourth had retired one or two laps before the end so he qualified

    dry
    Hamilton
    Raikko
    Kova

    WET
    Alonso
    Kova
    Kubica

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