2008 German Grand Prix: predictions

Posted on | Author Keith Collantine

Kimi Raikkonen, Michael Schumacher, Ferrari, 2008, 470150

If one of F1?s top four drivers in the championship wins the German Grand Prix they?re likely to become the new leader in the title race.

Will Lewis Hamilton, Felipe Massa, Kimi Raikkonen or Robert Kubica take the win? Could Heikki Kovalainen or Nick Heidfeld claim their first victories and become the 100th different Grand Prix driver to do it?

Or will we get a surprise winner from elsewhere in the field? Read my predictions and make yours below.

On paper, the Hockenheimring should be a Ferrari circuit. It’s prime Hermann Tilke territory ?ǣ a smooth surface with a medium to high downforce configuration.

Ferrari has excelled in recent years by building cars that work best on tracks like this, F1?s average circuit, with a lot of medium-speed corners and maybe one decent length of straight.

McLaren had a promising test session here last week but has chosen to discard one of its potential new modifications ?ǣ an extended rear engine cover, as first seen on the Red Bull RB4. (Curiously, Toyota ran a similar part for the first time at the test and drew the same conclusion).

Kovalainen seemed especially comfortable with the new developments on the car at Silverstone ?ǣ as long as the weather remained dry at least. Neither he nor Hamilton have raced here in F1, although that?s not likely to cause them too many problems, especially as both have extensive experience of the track from junior formulae.

Nevertheless in dry conditions I would bet on a Ferrari one-two with perhaps only Hamilton?s McLaren likely to spoil their party.

But we?ve had some unpredictable weather recently and at the time of writing Germany looks set for more of the same (see the weather thread on the forum for more). If it rains again, put your money on Hamilton and Kubica.

My top three prediction:

1. Kimi Raikkonen
2. Lewis Hamilton
3. Felipe Massa

The eagle-eyed among you will notice it was also my prediction for the last race, and it was totally wrong…

Last time no-one predicted Heidfeld in second or Barrichello in third but the following correctly place Hamilton in first: Toby, Mick, F1freak, Matt, John, Andrew, Becken, Wesley, Trig and Frank B. What are your predictions for this weekend?

Join us for Live Blogging during the German Grand Prix Saturday practice, qualifying and the race: