The F1 Fanatic 2009 predictor (Poll)

Will Honda's F1 team be back on the grid in 2009?

Will Honda's F1 team be back on the grid in 2009?

How well can we predict what’s going to happen in F1 this year?

In this post we’ll put ten predictions for the 2009 season to the vote and see which ones come true…

Which of the following do you think will happen in 2009? Vote for each one you’ll think will happen and explain your choices below.

Which of these predictions will come true in 2009?

  • Kimi Raikkonen beats Felipe Massa in the world championship (14%)
  • Max Mosley steps down as FIA president (6%)
  • McLaren beats Ferrari in the constructors' championship (7%)
  • Toyota quits Formula 1 (3%)
  • Lewis Hamilton gets at least three penalties (11%)
  • The British Grand Prix is dropped from the 2010 calendar (5%)
  • Felipe Massa will win the Turkish Grand Prix (12%)
  • The team formerly known as Honda makes it to Melbourne (15%)
  • Fernando Alonso confirms he is moving to Ferrari (15%)
  • Nelson Piquet Jnr loses his F1 seat (12%)

Total Voters: 2,468

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Read more: If we were in charge: 2008 in polls

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38 comments on The F1 Fanatic 2009 predictor (Poll)

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  1. It’s got to be Alonso confirming his move to Ferrari and one of my many reasons is largely due to the credit crunch. He will bring huge sponsors and the teams want and need the money… yes even Ferrari.

    (I like many of the other predictions but I’ll just enjoy reading what others have to say)

  2. Or rather, Ferrari have little choice but confirm Alonso is joining them after he is seen leaving Marinello with Massa – he denies it right up to his first Practice run…..
    Also Toyota run out of money after KERS breaks their budgets and forces them out of NASCAR too…

  3. Pete Walker said on 6th January 2009, 13:48

    Just three for me:

    Kimi beats Massa
    ‘Honda’ make it to Melbourne
    Fernando’s Ferrari move gets confirmed.

  4. Seedy001 said on 6th January 2009, 13:55

    Just three for me as well.

    Kimi beats Massa
    Brawn and co make it to Aus
    Max steps down

  5. I hope Kimi bounces back he shouldn’t really be playing 2nd fiddle to Felipe.

  6. Nirupam said on 6th January 2009, 14:37

    3 for me as well!!
    Kimi beats Massa
    Previously known Honda makes it to Aus (High Hopes!!)
    Ham gets 3 penalties(of course for all good reasons!)

  7. Alonso to Ferrari,
    Max’s term ends,
    Kimi beats Denise,
    Honda makes it to Melbourne aaaaand
    Lewis gets at least three penalties.

  8. graham228221 said on 6th January 2009, 15:31

    Just two for me:

    Honda makes it to Melbourne (with all these rumours that Ross Brawn is starting to talk to different people, I’m actually getting the impression he just might pull something off)

    Lewis Hamilton gets at least three penalties (I think with his driving style, he’ll still find them difficult to avoid, and three just isn’t that much)

    A couple of the others:

    Max will stay, using the excuse that continuity and experience will guide F1 through the current crisis (yeah right!)

    Alonso and Renault will actually do quite well, so Fernando will leave it hanging until 2010 to confirm (if at all)

    Massa won’t win in Turkey (law of averages, seriously!)

    Kimi won’t beat Massa (pure guess, but it’ll be closer and give Ferrari a headache again)

    Mclaren won’t beat Ferrari, as while both Ferrari drivers will be battling for the title while Heikki (although improving a lot on last season) will be playing second fiddle to Lewis throughout.

    The British GP won’t be dropped, or is that just wishful thinking?

    Toyota won’t quit, although it will take some work from Max and Bernie to keep them through the season.

    And stop picking on poor Nelsinho! But I do hope we see a few drivers being dropped for poor performance at some point, the grid needs more freshers.

  9. You should read James Surowiecki’s book The Wisdom of Crowds, Keith, if you haven’t already – a tribute to the power of collective expertise, working on the same principle as prediction markets. There might be some interesting experiments to be done with your readership.

    Having said that, the markets were backing Kimi for a large amount of 2008 – suggesting his reputation was so strong that we collectively simply didn’t believe he wouldn’t bounce back, until the point when he mathematically couldn’t.

  10. Daniel said on 6th January 2009, 18:32

    Massa will win the Turkish Grand Prix…

    Hamilton will get at least three (deserved) penalties…

  11. Massa the best ……..

  12. beneboy said on 6th January 2009, 20:04

    Three for me too.

    Kimi beating Felipe – Hoping Kimi is more comfortable with this seasons car. He’s Finnish so any reduction in grip is going to be good for him.

    Lewis gets 3 penalties – The way he drives means getting penalties is a risk in today’s world, the FIA don’t like people racing.

    Honda is bought in time for Australia – I just hope so and there’s nothing like a bit of wishful thinking to keep you going in the winter.


    Massa the best ……..

    …Brazilian in a Ferrari ?

  13. I picked four:

    – Honda makes it to Melbourne
    – Alonso confirms he is moving to Ferrari
    – Massa wins in Turkey
    – Hamilton gets at least three penalties

    Out of the others, to be sadly honest, I think the least likley is Max stepping down as FIA president- someone is going to need to pry the office from his hands if he’s ever going to lave of his own accord. The others could all happen, but with varying degrees of probability.

  14. I’ve choose 4 too:
    1 – Honda makes it to Melbourne
    2 – Alonso confirms he is moving to Ferrari
    3 – Massa wins in Turkey
    4 – Nelson Piquet Jnr loses his F1 seat
    Not necessaryly in this order.
    I’ didn’t check the box for Ham and his penalties… Poor guy, may be he has learn something during the last 2 seasons. Or not? :-)

  15. Kimi will beat Massa, Massa had his chance but failed. Garbage driver who will be without a drive when Alonso confirms his Ferrari contract.

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