The F1 Fanatic 2009 predictor (Poll)

Will Honda's F1 team be back on the grid in 2009?

Will Honda's F1 team be back on the grid in 2009?

How well can we predict what’s going to happen in F1 this year?

In this post we’ll put ten predictions for the 2009 season to the vote and see which ones come true…

Which of the following do you think will happen in 2009? Vote for each one you’ll think will happen and explain your choices below.

Which of these predictions will come true in 2009?

  • Kimi Raikkonen beats Felipe Massa in the world championship (14%)
  • Max Mosley steps down as FIA president (6%)
  • McLaren beats Ferrari in the constructors' championship (7%)
  • Toyota quits Formula 1 (3%)
  • Lewis Hamilton gets at least three penalties (11%)
  • The British Grand Prix is dropped from the 2010 calendar (5%)
  • Felipe Massa will win the Turkish Grand Prix (12%)
  • The team formerly known as Honda makes it to Melbourne (15%)
  • Fernando Alonso confirms he is moving to Ferrari (15%)
  • Nelson Piquet Jnr loses his F1 seat (12%)

Total Voters: 2,468

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38 comments on The F1 Fanatic 2009 predictor (Poll)

  1. It’s got to be Alonso confirming his move to Ferrari and one of my many reasons is largely due to the credit crunch. He will bring huge sponsors and the teams want and need the money… yes even Ferrari.

    (I like many of the other predictions but I’ll just enjoy reading what others have to say)

  2. Or rather, Ferrari have little choice but confirm Alonso is joining them after he is seen leaving Marinello with Massa – he denies it right up to his first Practice run…..
    Also Toyota run out of money after KERS breaks their budgets and forces them out of NASCAR too…

  3. Pete Walker said on 6th January 2009, 13:48

    Just three for me:

    Kimi beats Massa
    ‘Honda’ make it to Melbourne
    Fernando’s Ferrari move gets confirmed.

  4. Seedy001 said on 6th January 2009, 13:55

    Just three for me as well.

    Kimi beats Massa
    Brawn and co make it to Aus
    Max steps down

  5. I hope Kimi bounces back he shouldn’t really be playing 2nd fiddle to Felipe.

  6. Nirupam said on 6th January 2009, 14:37

    3 for me as well!!
    Kimi beats Massa
    Previously known Honda makes it to Aus (High Hopes!!)
    Ham gets 3 penalties(of course for all good reasons!)

  7. Alonso to Ferrari,
    Max’s term ends,
    Kimi beats Denise,
    Honda makes it to Melbourne aaaaand
    Lewis gets at least three penalties.

  8. graham228221 said on 6th January 2009, 15:31

    Just two for me:

    Honda makes it to Melbourne (with all these rumours that Ross Brawn is starting to talk to different people, I’m actually getting the impression he just might pull something off)

    Lewis Hamilton gets at least three penalties (I think with his driving style, he’ll still find them difficult to avoid, and three just isn’t that much)

    A couple of the others:

    Max will stay, using the excuse that continuity and experience will guide F1 through the current crisis (yeah right!)

    Alonso and Renault will actually do quite well, so Fernando will leave it hanging until 2010 to confirm (if at all)

    Massa won’t win in Turkey (law of averages, seriously!)

    Kimi won’t beat Massa (pure guess, but it’ll be closer and give Ferrari a headache again)

    Mclaren won’t beat Ferrari, as while both Ferrari drivers will be battling for the title while Heikki (although improving a lot on last season) will be playing second fiddle to Lewis throughout.

    The British GP won’t be dropped, or is that just wishful thinking?

    Toyota won’t quit, although it will take some work from Max and Bernie to keep them through the season.

    And stop picking on poor Nelsinho! But I do hope we see a few drivers being dropped for poor performance at some point, the grid needs more freshers.

  9. You should read James Surowiecki’s book The Wisdom of Crowds, Keith, if you haven’t already – a tribute to the power of collective expertise, working on the same principle as prediction markets. There might be some interesting experiments to be done with your readership.

    Having said that, the markets were backing Kimi for a large amount of 2008 – suggesting his reputation was so strong that we collectively simply didn’t believe he wouldn’t bounce back, until the point when he mathematically couldn’t.

  10. Daniel said on 6th January 2009, 18:32

    Massa will win the Turkish Grand Prix…

    Hamilton will get at least three (deserved) penalties…

  11. Massa the best ……..

  12. beneboy said on 6th January 2009, 20:04

    Three for me too.

    Kimi beating Felipe – Hoping Kimi is more comfortable with this seasons car. He’s Finnish so any reduction in grip is going to be good for him.

    Lewis gets 3 penalties – The way he drives means getting penalties is a risk in today’s world, the FIA don’t like people racing.

    Honda is bought in time for Australia – I just hope so and there’s nothing like a bit of wishful thinking to keep you going in the winter.

    Alex

    Massa the best ……..

    …Brazilian in a Ferrari ?

  13. I picked four:

    – Honda makes it to Melbourne
    – Alonso confirms he is moving to Ferrari
    – Massa wins in Turkey
    – Hamilton gets at least three penalties

    Out of the others, to be sadly honest, I think the least likley is Max stepping down as FIA president- someone is going to need to pry the office from his hands if he’s ever going to lave of his own accord. The others could all happen, but with varying degrees of probability.

  14. I’ve choose 4 too:
    1 – Honda makes it to Melbourne
    2 – Alonso confirms he is moving to Ferrari
    3 – Massa wins in Turkey
    4 – Nelson Piquet Jnr loses his F1 seat
    Not necessaryly in this order.
    I’ didn’t check the box for Ham and his penalties… Poor guy, may be he has learn something during the last 2 seasons. Or not? :-)
    Cheers

  15. Kimi will beat Massa, Massa had his chance but failed. Garbage driver who will be without a drive when Alonso confirms his Ferrari contract.

  16. Alianora La Canta said on 6th January 2009, 22:43

    I’m taking:

    ex-Honda get to Melbourne (by the skin of its teeth)
    Massa to win the Turkish GP (and at least Brazil and China as well)
    Hamilton to get at least three penalties (more like four or five)
    McLaren beats Ferrari in the constructor’s championship (by a small but noticeable margin)
    Toyota quits F1 (but Williams announces that it doesn’t care because it will have Cosworths instead)

    I have no idea about whether Raikkonen or Massa will have the upper hand. But I think the British GP will happen, Piquet Jr will get a seat either at Renault or (ex-)Toro Rosso in 2010, Alonso will wait until late in 2010 before making his mind up on Ferrari and Max Mosley will win the 2009 election.

  17. Keith Collantine (@keithcollantine) said on 6th January 2009, 23:39

    I voted for:

    The team formerly known as Honda makes it to Melbourne
    Felipe Massa will win the Turkish Grand Prix – he’s a form tracks kind of guy, and Ferrari will be competitive again this year
    Nelson Piquet Jnr loses his F1 seat – I don’t expect him to do enough in 2009 to justify a place in F1
    Lewis Hamilton gets at least three penalties – Which would be an improvement on 2008’s five

    I don’t think Mosley will step down. He’ll see his senate vote win during Spankgate as a referendum on his presidency.

  18. 4 for me:
    1. Massa wins in Turkey – duh?
    2. Piquet loses his seat – about time
    3. Lewis gets 3 penalties – with MaFIA and FIArrari in bed, duh?
    4. McLaren beats Ferrari – I can dream can’t I?

  19. Steven Roy said on 7th January 2009, 2:18

    I think ex-Honda will probably make Melbourne. Apart from any other reason because Bernie can’t afford to see any other team leve as he is close to the minimum number of cars he has to supply to each race.

    I don’t see Alonso going to Ferrari being announced next year as Kimi has a contract signed for 2010 already.

    I doubt Massa will get a car that suits him so much more than his team mate two years in a row with so many rule changes.

    Turkey is an understeer track so should belong to Massa, Alonso or Kubica. My bet is Massa will have the best package of the three.

    Alonso is more confident and comfortable than a year ago so for me Piquet is in trouble this season.

    He is the biggest threat to Ferrari and as Bernie has recently highlighted F1 is massively biased towards Ferrari so lots of penalties for Lewis again.

    Ferrari are struggling with KERS and have shuffles some of their senior people again so McLaren should beat them in the constructors championship.

    Max said during the vote of confidence that if the vote went his way he definitely wouldn’t stand again. Unfortunately the man is a liar so we will be stuck with him for another few years.

    The 2010 British GP will be at Silverstone. Just as when Brands Hatch won the contract the race never left Silverstone. Bernie spotted that the Donington people were mugs and only signed a deal to get a payment for them defaulting while at the same time turning the screws on Silverstone.

    I think Renault will quit before Toyota. I expect Toyota and Renault to see out the 2009 season.

  20. Rich said on 7th January 2009, 2:39

    U guys are dreamers!

    1) “Honda” sinks into the setting sun (not the “rising” sun) and is never heard from again.

    2) Piquet JR becomes a pedestrian and is disinherited by Sr.

    3) Massa crashes out Hamilton in Turkey but crosses the line upside-down and backwards in first place and is declared the winner. Hamilton is penalized for driving a McLaren.

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