Chance of rain promises classic race in Canada

2011 Canadian Grand Prix

Fernando Alonso, Ferrari, Montreal, 2011

Fernando Alonso, Ferrari, Montreal, 2011

Sebastian Vettel starts from his sixth pole position of the year in Montreal.

But several of his rivals are well-equipped to keep him from his sixth win of the year.

Not least of which the Ferraris, who had their best qualifying performance of the year.

The McLaren’s race pace is not to be underestimated either, and they look well-prepared for wet conditions.

Rain

The prospect of rain has dominated the teams’ preparations for the Canadian Grand Prix. Showers are expected throughout today at the circuit.

The drivers have had no running in the wet at Montreal so far. Nor have they had much experience of Pirelli’s wet and intermediate tyres, which are identified by orange and blue lettering respectively.

That does at least mean they have a full stock of fresh wet weather tyres available. This could prove important as the limited running they have done on them so far has indicated they wear out quite quickly.

As is always the case when a wet race is in prospect, there is much speculation over which teams and drivers have made the greatest concessions to a wet weather set-up.

The two McLarens and Nick Heidfeld are among those who appear to be running more wing. In wet conditions this could pay off with improved performance and better tyre life.

The start

The fast-starting Ferraris could pose a threat to Vettel at the start.

Fernando Alonso leapt from fourth on the grid to lead in Spain two races ago. He also gained one place at the start in Monaco despite the very short run to the first corner.

It’s a fairly short run to turn one at Montreal – just 200m, roughly the same as Melbourne. See below for more data on the drivers’ starts this year.

The first corners at the Circuit Gilles Villeneuve also present a high risk of incident – remember Felipe Massa’s collision with Vitantonio Liuzzi last year.

Depending on the conditions, Race Control may order a single-file rolling start behind the safety car.

Strategy

If the race is dry, the top ten drivers will start on the super-soft tyres they qualified on.

Drivers were able to lap strongly on both compounds during practice with little sign of the problems they encountered last year.

But even without rain today’s race is expected to see much cooler conditions, which could also affect how well the tyres last.

Brake wear is always a consideration at the Circuit Gilles Villeneuve in dry races. They take the greatest punishment at the start of the race, on high fuel loads running in the hot slipstream of other cars.

Position change on lap one

Average Total 1 2 3 4 5 6
Sebastian Vettel -0.33 -2 0 0 -2 0 0 0
Mark Webber -1.5 -9 0 -6 1 -1 -2 -1
Lewis Hamilton -0.67 -4 0 -1 1 -2 -1 -1
Jenson Button -0.83 -5 -2 0 1 1 -5 0
Fernando Alonso -0.33 -2 -4 -2 -1 1 3 1
Felipe Massa 0.83 5 3 1 1 0 0 0
Michael Schumacher -0.33 -2 -11 3 5 1 4 -4
Nico Rosberg -0.17 -1 0 -4 0 1 0 2
Nick Heidfeld 3 18 5 4 2 0 7 0
Vitaly Petrov 0.83 5 2 3 -2 -1 1 2
Rubens Barrichello -0.67 -4 -3 0 0 0 -1 0
Pastor Maldonado -1.17 -7 -1 0 -3 0 -4 1
Adrian Sutil 1.17 7 4 1 3 0 -1 0
Paul di Resta 1.33 8 4 0 1 0 2 1
Kamui Kobayashi -0.5 -3 1 0 2 5 -10 -1
Sergio Perez -2.6 -13 -1 -1 -4 -8 1
Sebastien Buemi -0.5 -3 -1 0 -4 0 2 0
Jaime Alguersuari -1.83 -11 -9 2 -3 -3 1 1
Heikki Kovalainen 0.83 5 4 0 1 3 -1 -2
Jarno Trulli 1.5 9 3 -1 1 2 3 1
Narain Karthikeyan 0.2 1 0 0 1 0 0
Vitantonio Liuzzi 1 5 0 2 1 2 0
Timo Glock 0.4 2 2 1 0 -1 0
Jerome d’Ambrosio 0.67 4 4 0 -2 2 0 0

2011 Canadian Grand Prix

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60 comments on Chance of rain promises classic race in Canada

  1. Doance (@doance) said on 12th June 2011, 12:17

    Of course it will be a classic because I’m not able to watch it.

  2. RobertsB said on 12th June 2011, 12:29

    I don’t think that rain will make the race more interesting, because in that case DRS will be disabled.

  3. Atticus said on 12th June 2011, 12:51

    I’m not sure tyres are going to be that important for once, if it dries up. Tyre degradation is so low that I can even imagine one stop strategies. Two is going to be the norm though, but I think everybody managed to save 2 sets of super-softs which has zero or little amount of running.

    As a Ferrari fan I certainly would have liked rain in pretty much every race up to now (except maybe Monaco and Malaysia), but please not now! Given ‘normal’ circumstances (which are rare in Montreal; SC is always expected even in dry conditions) I think today Ferrari is the team to beat.

    So I want a smooth, normal race and a Prancing Horse-victory for once.

    • Atticus said on 12th June 2011, 12:56

      I just looked at the radar linked (big thank you! :)).

      Rain has fallen and departed as of now. I’ll check it every once and a while, but if it stays like this, the tracks is going to dry up I think. Even though it’s gonna be ‘green’, slippery. Could very well catch someone off guard especially in the early stages so I bet we are in for an early SC.

  4. Gez said on 12th June 2011, 13:15

    If you look on Jake Humphrey latest photo tweet, it’s defentely raining, so hopefully it will be raining during the grand prix and helping the McLarens

  5. DryYoshi said on 12th June 2011, 15:29

    high chance of safety car start in GP #BBCF1@andrewbensonf13 mins ago

    *sigh*

  6. Guelph said on 12th June 2011, 16:03

    There’s a decent amount of rain on its way to the course, looks like it will arrive about an hour before the race starts, and end shortly after the start of the race.

  7. ccolanto said on 12th June 2011, 16:19

    It’s misting at the circuit gilles villeneuve right now. The track is wet. Support races have been running wet tires so far. I’d say it’s start that’ll be done on intermediates.

  8. Radioshack said on 12th June 2011, 16:46

    Chance of rain is %99.9 Looks like a decent downpour at some point during the race too. http://www.theweathernetwork.com/weather/maps/caqc0363?ref=rlink_weather_satrad

    • Trix (@) said on 12th June 2011, 16:54

      Please, please, please, let it rain somewhere in the middle of the race. I want a clean dry start, and then a sudden kaboom-splash of heavenly water to shake things up…

      Dear little F1 Deities, make it rain during the rain, not before. Let the track dry and keep it that way until the “Look but never stare” moment and the first few laps (hey, we might as well properly test the double DRS zone with single detection point before).

  9. Antranik (@antranik) said on 12th June 2011, 16:49

    What are the rules on DRS if it rains? Are they still allowed to use it?

  10. JUGNU said on 12th June 2011, 16:59

    Some sites are reporting very heavy rain near the circuit. So it seems Mclaren’s gamble paid off.

    • Ady said on 12th June 2011, 17:14

      I don’t understand why you say it was a gamble. They were given odds of 60% rain, 40% no rain. Therefore it would be a gamble not to set your car up for the rain.

  11. Shomir said on 12th June 2011, 17:01

    Oh wow look at Heidfeld’s Lap One Change! Pretty impressive :)

  12. JerseyF1 said on 12th June 2011, 18:48

    Chance of rain promises classic race in Canada

    Looks more like a damp squib at the current moment!

  13. Calum said on 12th June 2011, 19:25

    I think you jinxed it Keith! :P

  14. Palle (@palle) said on 12th June 2011, 19:26

    Epic race, but I’m glad to be sitting comfortably in the sunshine in Denmark, and not waiting for the restart in the rain in Montreal.
    A pity for Lewis and the tyre change by Button and Alonso, which turned out to be a bad idea.
    My prediction is bad – I only have 1 driver correct in top 5 by now.
    But a good race so far for Kobayashi, Massa, and the Renaults. If they get started again, maybe Webber, Alonso and Button will get back in the top 5.

  15. Palle (@palle) said on 12th June 2011, 19:28

    And pitstops are not counting as they can now change tyres before the restart.

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