How Vettel and Red Bull can win the titles in Japan

2011 Japanese Grand Prix

Sebastian Vettel, Red Bull, Monza, 2011

He's already got 309 points - he just needs one more

Only one result can stop Sebastian Vettel from winning the drivers’ championship on Sunday.

Red Bull can also claim the teams’ title but whether they do is not entirely in their hands.

Here’s where they need to finish to claim the championships on Sunday.

How Vettel can win the drivers’ championship

This one is easy. The only way Vettel can fail to win the championship on Sunday is if Jenson Button wins the race and Vettel does not finish in the top ten.

Any other result means Vettel will retain his title.

How Red Bull can win the constructors’ championship

Red Bull need get both their cars home in the upper reaches of the points to be able to win the constructors’ title in the Japanese Grand Prix.

They will be champions if they extend their lead over McLaren by 34 points.

Naturally their best chance of doing that is with a one-two finish. However if the McLarens finish higher than sixth and tenth, or seventh and ninth, Red Bull won’t take the title on Sunday.

If Red Bull finish first and third they need the McLarens to do no better than eighth and ninth. Red Bull could also win the title with first and fourth or first and fifth again depending on how well the McLarens do.

So despite Red Bull’s crushing form they are not likely to win the championship just yet unless McLaren suffer some kind of misfortune.

Which of the championships do you expect to be decided this weekend?

2011 Japanese Grand Prix

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63 comments on How Vettel and Red Bull can win the titles in Japan

  1. Bigbadderboom (@bigbadderboom) said on 6th October 2011, 13:59

    My interest is now on Massa v Hamilton, if Hamilton gets embroiled in some nose to tail racing then I think we will finally see some real fireworks, especially if Massa is playing rear gunner to Alonso. i thought i’d lose interest but these little battles are fun to follow! And an early start as well leaves the rest of the day free to spend with the kids. Me happy, missus happy, kids happy all good!!

    • Tony Swales said on 7th October 2011, 8:26

      I agree, I would prefer all races to start early morning or evening (So I can enjoy a beer or too)

  2. f1ellen (@) said on 6th October 2011, 14:03

    I don’t think I can handle the radio message transmission if/when he wraps this up.

  3. Incredibly, its harder for Vettel to lose than win.

  4. Mark-L (@mark-l) said on 6th October 2011, 15:56

    I have a feeling he won’t finish the race not sure why.

  5. west (@west) said on 6th October 2011, 17:11

    The constructors title will go up to the last race : red bull will have some reliability isues in the last 4 races.

  6. OmarR-Pepper (@omarr-pepper) said on 6th October 2011, 17:57

    The Vettel championship is an “already gotten” one, and Red Bull as a team has good chances, because Hamilton has been going down last races… he crashes and its opening the gates for a new constructors championship. The thrill is to see if Button can finishes the championship second (that would be really fair according to what he’s done all year round.

  7. Younger Hamii (@younger-hamii) said on 6th October 2011, 18:37

    Well from a McLaren’s fan POV,Seb is most certainly going to wrap up the title,Its Inevitable regardless.He’s been argubly the best driver this season;Cool,Fast,Calm & Collected.I’d say this all the time and especially a track like Suzuka that Seb has ran quite well at & is dominant at.

    Already,Congratulations Sebastian Vettel our Youngest Double World Champion elect.

  8. magon4 (@magon4) said on 6th October 2011, 19:45

    Great day for Vettel, and Suzuka is the perfect venue to crown the old and new champ. I’m happy for him and hope that he’ll have some serious McLaren and Ferrari competition next year – maybe even Mercedes?

  9. Fixy (@fixy) said on 6th October 2011, 20:56

    Vettel’s chances of winning the title this weekend are very high. Even if he had a bad race and retired/finished out of the top 10, no one says Button would win.
    Red Bull’s chances are slimmer and probably won’t win the title in Suzuka.

  10. Carlitox (@carlitox) said on 6th October 2011, 21:41

    If Button does win and Vettel fails to finish, he will only postponing the inevitable. However, my choice for the runner-up is Button.

  11. petebaldwin (@petebaldwin) said on 6th October 2011, 22:18

    I wonder what happens if Vettel crashed out, Hamilton is leading and Button 2nd. Despite the fact that we all know Button isn’t going to win the Championship, would McLaren make Hamilton let Button past?

    Surely they’d have to until it was mathematically impossible for Button to win the title?

  12. SoLiDG (@solidg) said on 7th October 2011, 0:05

    I hope vettel takes it in Japan. A circuit with great f1 history and a place we had many championships decided.
    It would be a bit dull to take it in Korea imo.

  13. wasiF1 (@wasif1) said on 7th October 2011, 2:47

    I won’t be surprise if both are decided this weekend,but I think CWC will take some more time.

  14. AndrewTanner (@andrewtanner) said on 7th October 2011, 7:24

    I can only see Vettel bagging his second title this year. They would have been able to wrap up the Constructors too, if Webber had pulled his socks up ;)

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