Will Vettel bounce back in Brazil?

2011 Brazilian Grand Prix preview

Start, Interlagos, 2008

The last season finale in Brazil produced an epic race

After racing at F1′s three newest venues the contrast in Brazil could hardly be greater.

On one hand we have Yas Marina with its spectacular hotel and ultra-modern facilities. But a meagre (by F1 standards) crowd of 50,000 was enough to achieve sell-out capacity at an insipid and tedious track.

On the other hand we have Interlagos, where F1 opulence is cheek-by-jowl with appalling poverty, and the drivers arrive with armed bodyguards to protect themselves. But the track is a gem and the crowd is as large as it is passionate.

The Autodromo Jose Carlos Pace circuit in Interlagos has served up a series of exciting races without the need for gimmicks like DRS. Recognising this, the FIA have limited the DRS zone to single point on the track for Sunday’s race, not wanting to make overtaking “too easy”.

The success of Interlagos as a racing circuit gives food for thought for those planning the next Yas Marina. It gives the lie to the assumptions behind many modern track designs that leave fans and drivers alike wanting.

It does not have India’s bizarrely wide corner entries nor Abu Dhabi’s bowling green smoothness. Above all, it spurns the excessively long 5.5km length of modern tracks with a compact layout shorter than anything on the calendar bar Monaco.

This has multiple benefits. Lower lap times means closer qualifying sessions. It also means tighter queues of cars and more lapped traffic, all of which adds up greater opportunities for overtaking.

It also means the cars pass the spectators much more often – 71 times in a race instead of the usual 50-odd.

The race organisers have their eye on one of the track’s deficiencies – the lack of run-off in some places – and are planning changes for next year’s race. However it looks like the track layout will remain unchanged, and that is something to be celebrated.

The season finale

Sebastian Vettel, Red Bull, Abu Dhabi, 2011

Vettel is out to bounce back from his Abu Dhabi disappointment

The last time Interlagos hosted the season finale it produced one of the greatest races I have seen: the epic 2008 championship showdown between Lewis Hamilton and Felipe Massa.

With the championships already won and forgotten about, it’s doubtful anything could match that peak of excitement this weekend.

There is the prospect of record-breaking on Sunday as Sebastian Vettel could become the first ever driver to set 15 pole positions in a season.

Yas Marina promised to be an intriguing contest between Hamilton – who was quick all weekend up until Q3 – and Vettel. But the contest was over the moment Vettel’s tyre failed.

Hamilton has the chance to end the season on something of a high following repeated setbacks earlier in the year.

While the local crowd will focus its attention on Massa, it’s hard to see him figuring in the fight for outright victory. A podium finish would certainly be welcome, though: Alonso has had ten this season while Massa is yet to finish higher than fifth.

All three of the home drivers find themselves under pressure. Rubens Barrichello’s future with Williams is uncertain and there is the chance this could be his final race.

The same goes for Bruno Senna who is working to keep his place at Renault. Today’s confirmation that Robert Kubica will not be back with the team at the beginning of next year makes it a straight fight between Senna and Romain Grosjean for Renault’s second seat, assuming Vitaly Petrov isn’t going anywhere.

Both Renault drivers have been plagued by technical problems in recent races. It would take a significant upset for the team to lose its grasp on fifth in the constructors’ championship in the final race, but stranger things have happened at Interlagos.

Force India, Sauber and Toro Rosso’s three-way contest for sixth, seventh and eighth places will finally be resolved. This may sound like small bier in the rankings remember the distribution of prize money for these places is crucial for the smaller teams.

New tyres, tired engines

Interlagos, 2011 Brazilian Grand Prix

Interlagos circuit information

Lap length 4.309km (2.677 miles)
Distance 71 laps (305.9km/190.1 miles)
Lap record* 1’11.473 (Juan Pablo Montoya, 2004)
Fastest lap 1’09.822 (Rubens Barrichello, 2004)
Tyres Medium and Soft

*Fastest lap set during a Grand Prix

Interlagos track data in full

As the drivers reach the end of their engine allocation for 2011 they will have to make sure their remaining units have enough life to cope with the peculiar demands of Interlagos.

The long, uphill drag from Juncao to the start/finish straight places a premium on engine performance. Although the altitude of the circuit helps reduce the load on engine internals, the lower air density means the engine has to work much harder.

On top of that, drivers will have new tyres to use. For this first time this year the original-specification soft tyres will be absent from a race. Pirelli has replaced them with the new soft compound tested in Yas Marina.

Motorsport director Paul Hembery explained: “The idea is to find a tyre that’s closer in performance to the super soft.

“At the moment the delta gap in peak performance is too high. From that point of view we’ve found up to a half a second improvement over the current soft tyre.”

However this weekend the new soft tyre is paired with the medium tyre, so expect a larger gap in performance between the two.

Hembery added the new tyre: “also has an improved resistance to blistering which is something we wanted to improve on the hotter, more aggressive tracks.”

2011 driver form

Q avg R avg R best R worst Classified Form guide
Sebastian Vettel 1.28 1.53 1 4 17/18 Form guide
Mark Webber 3.89 3.47 2 5 17/18 Form guide
Lewis Hamilton 3.56 3.75 1 8 16/18 Form guide
Jenson Button 4.56 3.06 1 6 16/18 Form guide
Fernando Alonso 4.56 3.41 1 7 17/18 Form guide
Felipe Massa 5.72 6.47 5 11 15/18 Form guide
Michael Schumacher 10.33 7.77 4 17 13/18 Form guide
Nico Rosberg 7.61 7.69 5 12 16/18 Form guide
Nick Heidfeld 13.36 8.5 3 12 8/11 Form guide
Vitaly Petrov 10.22 10.73 3 17 15/18 Form guide
Rubens Barrichello 14.94 13.2 9 17 15/18 Form guide
Pastor Maldonado 14.44 14.62 10 18 13/18 Form guide
Adrian Sutil 11.78 10.13 6 15 16/18 Form guide
Paul di Resta 11.72 11.24 6 18 17/18 Form guide
Kamui Kobayashi 13.72 10.64 5 16 14/18 Form guide
Sergio Perez 13.81 11.58 7 17 12/16 Form guide
Sebastien Buemi 14.61 11.15 8 15 13/18 Form guide
Jaime Alguersuari 14.39 11.87 7 21 15/18 Form guide
Heikki Kovalainen 18.11 15.85 13 19 13/18 Form guide
Jarno Trulli 19.24 16.77 13 20 13/17 Form guide
Narain Karthikeyan 23.13 20 17 24 7/8 Form guide
Vitantonio Liuzzi 22.44 19.75 13 23 12/16 Form guide
Timo Glock 20.61 17.85 15 21 13/18 Form guide
Jerome D’Ambrosio 21.89 18.07 14 22 15/18 Form guide
Pedro de la Rosa 17 12 12 12 1/1 Form guide
Daniel Ricciardo 22.6 19.14 18 22 7/10 Form guide
Karun Chandhok 20 20 20 20 1/1 Form guide
Bruno Senna 12 13.43 9 16 7/7 Form guide

Will it be another win from pole for Vettel this weekend? Or can McLaren end the season with back-to-back victories? And how will the home drivers do?

Share your thoughts on the season finale in the comments.

2011 Brazilian Grand Prix

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71 comments on Will Vettel bounce back in Brazil?

  1. wasiF1 (@wasif1) said on 24th November 2011, 2:42

    Rain is expected in all three days of the weekend,the last race of the season will be something to savor.

  2. Steve (@steve) said on 24th November 2011, 8:22

    Keith, let us not forget, the epic season finale from 2007 where Kimi became World Champion with one point difference. In a race like last years final race with three title contenders.
    The second time in my life I didn’t have any nails left after 2 hours. Just like Jacques Villeneuve’s victory in Estoril in 1997.

  3. Alain (@paganbasque) said on 24th November 2011, 8:27

    I am praying for a rainy and chaotic race, in the vein of 2003´s GP, but without those terrible accidents. Moreover, I would like to see different drivers in the podium, perhaps Schumacher, Rosberg and Di Resta, they have done some great races so they deserve it.

    I miss those races where other drivers used to have the chance of reaching the podium, nowadays F1 is too predictable(and the cars too reliable), at least in my opinion.

  4. AndrewTanner (@andrewtanner) said on 25th November 2011, 7:59

    From a track orientation point of view it’s really Red Bulls pole to lose. I hope Vettel gets pole, just for his stats. He may not get another chance to dominate so much.

    Who knows in the race though. It’s so incredibly right and windy round Interlagos.

    I’m not bothered who wins but I want a great season finale.

    Enjoy everyone!

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