Alonso ’100% confident we will win title’

F1 Fanatic round-up

Fernando Alonso, Ferrari, Buddh International Circuit, 2012In the round-up: Fernando Alonso says he is sure he will win the championship.

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Top F1 links from the past 24 hours:

Alonso confident he can still win F1 title (Reuters)

“I think it’s more challenging for us now but I remain 100% confident that we will fight for this championship and we will win it.”

Q&A with Red Bull?s Helmut Marko (F1)

“We have never had team orders but we bank on the intelligence of our drivers. I think they demonstrated their ability to use their brain as well as their feet very recently in Korea. Mark [Webber's] start was not so good but there was no collision. As long as Mark has a theoretical, mathematical chance of winning the title it is understandable when he says that he is first and foremost driving for himself.”

‘Europe will lose out’ (Sky)

“We’ll keep trying to move forward. We’re a world championship. We’ll probably lose two or three more races in Europe as we have to sort of move on.”

I’m not retiring yet – Ecclestone (BBC)

“I will tell CVC [F1 owners] exactly if I’m going to turn it in when I’m 85 or something like that, which will give them plenty of notice.”

McLaren sure it can still beat Red Bull (Autosport)

Sporting director Sam Michael: “If he does get away and maintains a three second gap, there is still a possibility to get him on strategy, but it will be pretty hard. All the signs from practice are that we can run with them but, when you get there and get in the wake, you lose 10-15% of your downforce and then you start falling off the back.”

BJP slams Ferrari’s move to display the Italian Navy flag, while FMSCI is okay with it (The Indian Express)

“The [Bharatiya Janata Party, one of India's largest political parties] in Kerala has slammed Ferrari’s move to display the Italian Navy flag on its racing cars during the Indian Grand Prix to express solidarity with two Italian marines facing trial in Kerala for gunning down two Indian fishermen.”

FMSCI backs Ferrari in flag issue (Deccan Herald)

“‘The FMSCI [Federation of Motor Sports of India] would like to maintain that the FIA code of motorsport is apolitical and non-religious and the FMSCI will not permit motorsports to be politicised in any manner,’ read the statement issued by its president Vicky Chandhok.”

Di Resta: ‘You haven’t seen real me’ (The Telegraph)

“Di Resta is too polite to say that is the reason McLaren have taken on Mexican Sergio Perez as Lewis Hamilton?s replacement next year, but he hints it may be what he thinks. Perez ‘opens up various different markets,’ he says. ‘But listen, it was flattering to be linked to a team like McLaren.’”

Narain Karthikeyan terribly underrated, says team mate Pedro de la Rosa (The Times of India)

“Narain is a very strong driver and terribly underrated. I think he still has a few more seasons of F1 left in him.”

Ferrari via Twitlonger

“To those who think that there’s a coldness between [Alonso] and [Ferrari] the truth is we have never been as united as we are now. Forza Fernando! Forza Ferrari!”

Formula One Betting: Indian Grand Prix Race Preview (Unibet)

My race preview for Unibet.

Tweets

Comment of the day

Minardi (@Gitanes) is disappointed with how the quality of racing has dropped off as the season has gone on:

What a drop off in the excitement level from earlier in the year, which was maybe at an all-time high.

The combination of Red Bull dominance, lack of rain, and teams finally adjusting to the new Pirellis, has totally ruined the season.

I can?t believe that some people were actually complaining about the randomness earlier. I would do anything to bring it back!
Minardi (@Gitanes)

From the forum

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If you want a birthday shout-out tell us when yours is by emailling me, using Twitter or adding to the list here.

On this day in F1

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80 comments on Alonso ’100% confident we will win title’

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  1. I’m 100% confident Alonso will not win the title. Discuss.

    • He has a realistic shot if he drives the wheels off that Ferrari, but with Vettel on form in the fastest car leading the championship it’s an unrealistic proposition. He has a 20% chance of winning the title at this current moment in time in my opinion.

    • Osvaldas31 (@osvaldas31) said on 28th October 2012, 8:29

      If he doesn’t win, he’ll have to eat his words.

    • Fixy (@fixy) said on 28th October 2012, 14:39

      He mathematically has a chance. Therefore, mathematically, he can win the title.
      Realistically, unless Vettel encounters bad luck and Alonso doesn’t, considering how much the Red Bull has improved and considering that the next tracks should suit it to perfection, Vettel is in the best position to win the title. Even with a retirement he would still be my favourite.

  2. electrolite (@electrolite) said on 28th October 2012, 0:04

    Knee jerk reactions…..

    Brace yourselves

  3. PP RJ (@pprj) said on 28th October 2012, 0:07

    I very much want to know what Mr. Alonso is drinking.

  4. Wallbreaker (@wallbreaker) said on 28th October 2012, 0:08

    There are 3 possibilities

    1) Alonso knows of a super-secret mega update that will make his car one second faster
    2) Alonso has a huge amount of self-confidence
    3) Alonso has lost his sense for reality

    I personally would love #1, while I think it’s #2 and I desperately hope it’s not #3…

    • ka (@ka12) said on 28th October 2012, 2:53

      1. no way
      2. He is always confident, not just now.
      3. I think it is…

    • Prisoner Monkeys (@prisoner-monkeys) said on 28th October 2012, 6:44

      @wallbreaker – Alonso reckons that Ferrari is stronger over a race distance. Red Bull’s strategy has always been to build a quick qualifying car, set a couple of fast laps at the start of the race, and then maintain the gap. He was right when he said he was pressuing Webber towards the end of the Korean Grand Prix, and he probably hopes that the team’s latest updates will enable him to push harder. He’s probably also trying to put Red Bull in between a rock and a hard place by luring them into fighting him at the expense of the Constructors’ chmapionship, or fighting McLaren at the expense of the Drivers’ chmapionship.

    • DC (@dc) said on 28th October 2012, 8:02

      I think there might be a fourth possibility, and that is judicial editing by reporters. In the spoken language punctuation may be unsure, and I think Alonso’s actual statement might have been closer to:

      “I think it’s more challenging for us now but I remain 100 percent confident that we will fight for this championship. And we will win it.”

      In other words, he isn’t guaranteeing a championship like the media is saying. He is expressing his own confidence that they will fight for the championship and his belief that they will win it. It is generally frowned upon in all sporting events to guarantee a win.

    • i think it’s 2.

    • Fixy (@fixy) said on 28th October 2012, 14:43

      He is probably, in my opinion, lying to himself, both to boost his confidence and put pressure on Vettel.

  5. Prisoner Monkeys (@prisoner-monkeys) said on 28th October 2012, 0:08

    Di Resta: ‘You haven’t seen real me’

    So … we haven’t seen the “real” di Resta after two years, and he’s still wondering why he hasn’t been offered a front-running seat?

    “Di Resta is too polite to say that is the reason McLaren have taken on Mexican Sergio Perez as Lewis Hamilton’s replacement next year, but he hints it may be what he thinks. Perez ‘opens up various different markets,’ he says. ‘But listen, it was flattering to be linked to a team like McLaren.’”

    Or maybe Perez got the McLaren seat because he has shown everyone the “real” Perez.

    • JP (@jp1987) said on 28th October 2012, 14:38

      Couldn’t agree more. To me he wants people to believe that it was neck-to-neck competition between Sergio and him and they picked Sergio based on commercial appeal. I am not going to say that it wasn’t an important factor. But I doubt it was the deal breaker in this case. Sergio has capitalized on his chances, that is why he is heading to Woking, the rest is history now.

    • Fixy (@fixy) said on 28th October 2012, 14:48

      While di Resta may actually have someting more to show – maybe he is trying to find an excuse for his lack of results lately – I think this statement was never going to bring him more positive than negative answers, as @prisoner-monkeys correctly noticed.

  6. Ella (@ella) said on 28th October 2012, 0:13

    Pretty sure Alonso said something similar after Silverstone 2010 too. Not that that turned out any better.

    • Spawinte (@spawinte) said on 28th October 2012, 1:19

      Yep was about to post exactly that and he had a more competitive car in 2010 too.

    • your memory is short. he was one tactical mishap from being a three time world champion (4 wins and 3 podiums). not that I’m a Ferrari apologist.

      • Ella (@ella) said on 28th October 2012, 1:59

        Yes, I’m not denying that, believe me I remember it quite clearly. It hurt :P

        I’m just picking up on the similarity between the situations. His back is against the wall, everyone is counting him out and he comes out with a statement which, judging from the general reaction, people are calling him delusional for. Just like they did then.

        But in saying that, although he came painfully close to winning in 2010, that championship, like this one, was never in his control. As someone else said on here, he was and is just a passenger.

        • Todfod (@todfod) said on 28th October 2012, 8:06

          @ella . Honestly, I had made the statement about his being a passenger in the WDC this year.. but I dont see how it was any different from 2010. In 2010, for the last 4 races of the season, ALonso just did his best and hoped for things to work out.

          • Ella (@ella) said on 28th October 2012, 14:46

            @todfod – exactly. This situation is no different to 2010. Even Alonso’s recent comments acknowledge that he’s hoping for Redbull to slip up, or for their car to fail them. He knows the doesn’t have the goods to challenge them and his only chance is to hang in there and hope for a miracle.

  7. Ella (@ella) said on 28th October 2012, 0:15

    Also, I thought Ferrari’s tweet was a little odd. Are they perhaps referring to Alonso’s recent rallies for a more competitive car? No idea, really, just seemed like it came left of field.

  8. LSL1337 (@lsl1337) said on 28th October 2012, 0:20

    it rly doesn’t need one second improvement
    if it weren’t for suzuka, he still would well be in the lead, 3 tenths more is all he needs rly
    not for pole, but for challenge to the win
    in the past 2 years, he’s car never let him down (on the other hand, almost always, if i mean pace) mechanically, and vettel could get hit by someone, or another alternator.
    100% is ofc. VERy optimistic, but i’d still see 30-40% chance, and bwin gives 4,0 x for a Fernando WDC, it’s a steal rly :)

  9. Ed Marques (@edmarques) said on 28th October 2012, 0:20

    Hahaha , Alonso complained the whole week, now he’s confident? Did Luca send him a message?
    Helmut Marko is one of the most annoying figures of F1. I don’t know what his job is. Defend Vettel. perheaps?
    Di Resta is overrated. Good driver, with potencial do grow, but there is too much of fuzz around him. That for me is not justified.
    Is absurd the idea of Europe losing more GP’s. A1 Ring (Red Bull ring) is out, Imola too, Turkey , Paul Ricard, Estoril. To name some. All of these circuits are much more exciting than Yas Marina, Yeongan, Barhain, etc. India has a good circuit but if you look at the stands today, they were almost empty. Austin appears to be a nice circuit. F1 has to look more to the sporting side, the business can’t control everything.

  10. Wallbreaker (@wallbreaker) said on 28th October 2012, 0:22

    On another note: I really hope Bernie will retire sooner than later. The prospect of losing 2 or 3 more races in Europe sends a shiver down my spine…

    By the way: Has anyone noticed that Alonso has posted almost the exact same picture of his car like Ricciardo did? @keithcollantine

    • Eleanore (@leucocrystal) said on 28th October 2012, 0:53

      Whether Bernie sticks around or not is not going to improve the financial situation in the European market.

    • thejudge13 (@thejudge13) said on 28th October 2012, 1:18

      It was announced yesterday (but Ferrari story dominated everything) that CVC have appointed a firm of search executives (headhunters) to provide a list of possible CEO’s for FOM. http:/wp.me/p2HWOP-go. There are senior F1 figures who believe the German problem with the sale of the commercial rights may be the biggest challenges Mr. E has ever faced and should corruption charges be successfully brought in Munich http://wp.me/p2HWOP-ft there are clauses that can invalidate the contract from the FIA to those who presently hold those commerical rights.

      Indications that CVC may be pretty concerned having the the commercial rights contract invalidated could be evident in the fact they are trying to get their hands on future years F1 revenues now as an advance by way of a dividend re-capitalisation http://wp.me/p2HWOP-8O. This means getting a high risk lender (private equity fund) to grant them a very expensive mortgage on FOM so that CVC and partners can have the cash now. CVC have already done this previously for $2.6bn.

      • thejudge13 (@thejudge13) said on 28th October 2012, 1:19

        sorry headhunter link should have been http://wp.me/p2HWOP-go

      • HoHum (@hohum) said on 28th October 2012, 1:07

        @thejudge13, as you point out, the defence for losing the commercial rights contract is to sell the rights in return for cash in the bank, this is what Bernie did when the teams started to flex their muscles which is why CVC now have those rights,
        every time it happens the teams lose potential income. The strategy is somewhat similar to the MAD nuclear strategy, if the teams do not allow enough revenue to go to servicing debt, the whole circus could collapse leaving the teams with all their costs but no income until such time as a new series could be organised, which could be years as most smaller teams would fail before anything could be done, shame.
        This is why I feel Bernie has breached his fiduciary duty to F1. When Bernie approached the teams, promising to help them make better returns for their efforts I believe he had a duty to put F1 ahead of personal interest, instead he put personal interest ahead of F1.

        • thejudge13 (@thejudge13) said on 28th October 2012, 1:23

          @HoHum Agree entirely. The present view of Ecclestone as espoused on SKY F1 today is – he’s a bit of a rogue but made F1 global and a lot of other people rich along the way. Yet if it had not been Mr. E, someone else would have seen the commercial opportunity, and it is nigh on inconceivable anyone else could have acted as capriciously as he has consistently.

          History will not view Mr. E well – but for the moment most F1 media personnel go back a long way with him and very much enjoy his grace and favour.

    • infy (@infy) said on 28th October 2012, 1:31

      What is so important about having so many races in Europe?

      IMO they should have a race per X amount of KM’s so that people dont have to travel too far. Currently African residents have to fly thousands of KM’s and literally cross the ocean to view any sort of F1 show.

      • andrewf1 (@andrewf1) said on 28th October 2012, 2:04

        @infy because the majority of fans are european, all teams are based in europe, most of the personnel is definitely european, heck, some races on other continents are held so that it pleases the european audiance – which was Bernie’s idea as well, the irony. I hope Bernie and his plans go away.

        • infy (@infy) said on 28th October 2012, 9:23

          I tried searching, but for the life of me I cant find any demographics to backup your statement. Can you please provide a link?

          F1 certainly has more teams based in Europe and it _might_ also have more viewers, but that is a result of Europe having the lions share of races for decades. It is fair to say that if the races were better distributed around the world from the start, the viewing figures and team locations would also be.

          I believe they need to make it a priority to create a WORLD championship that serves the entire earth equally and not just the First World.

  11. Fer no.65 (@fer-no65) said on 28th October 2012, 0:22

    We’ll probably lose two or three more races in Europe as we have to sort of move on.”

    Move on from what? Tradition and excelent circuits? Aaah, so that’s the way F1 needs to go…!

    • Prisoner Monkeys (@prisoner-monkeys) said on 28th October 2012, 0:31

      Yes, the Valencia Street Circuit was a “traditional” and an “excellent” circuit. So much so that everybody celebrated when it was removed from the 2013 calendar.

      I doubt too many people would complain if Barcelona or Hungary were removed, either. In fact, so long as the calendar kept Monaco, Silverstone, Monza and Spa, I’d say most people would be fine with it.

    • thejudge13 (@thejudge13) said on 28th October 2012, 1:41

      The SKY article does not represent the TV interview properly. When asked why European races had to go Ecclestone responded that the teams needed funding and Europe was not the best way to do this. ie who pays the most will get the races.

      So Monaco should be the first to go because they pay no race fee, and even receive revenue from track side advertising, a right no other race promoter has. The event has always been a grace and favour agreement between F1 and the principality – and it used to be the place where the big corporate business deals were done with F1 as the backdrop. Now F1 has Abu Dhabi, Bahrain and even some of the Asian races – places where sovereign huge funds are available for investment – and the F1 weekends are where many commercial deals are now done.

      Monaco as a track has fallen behind the needs of modern F1 racing as is rather a dull technical processional – not a track that is conducive to F1 in the 21st century. Further Monaco is no longer the 21st century location where the big business deals are done at an F1.

      • HoHum (@hohum) said on 28th October 2012, 1:13

        @thejudge13, when Bernie says the teams need funding, it is because CVC takes half the income to pay its debt, Bernie really means we have to make more money for the investors who paid me a couple of billion for my contract rights.

        • thejudge13 (@thejudge13) said on 28th October 2012, 1:29

          Absolutely – and maybe they should consider themselves lucky (ironic). When he did his first TV deal, in 1982 as a FOCA (as it was known then) representative of the teams – he took 75% and the teams 25%.

          He gave them instantly double what they’d previously received, but they didn’t realise the TV companies were paying now paying about 10 times the amount they were paying under the previous deal.

  12. Mike the bike Schumacher (@mike-the-bike-schumacher) said on 28th October 2012, 0:25

    WOW!!!! I thought Bernie was 21 :P

  13. iAbuser (@iabuser) said on 28th October 2012, 1:06

    Alonso lost the title fight at Spa when Grojean was being a rookie, Suzuka didnt help, but if he thinks he has a chance now, he better be doing some serious rain dancing and hoping the guds will help him out, cos its a fact that Ferrari aint getting faster, and those RB8′s have found another gear. Mechanical failure for SV is pretty much Alonso’s only real chance, unless he really setup the car for race which is why hes not up there going pole times during quali. Ferrari are gonna have to go at least 5 laps longer then RB per tyre set to have any chance! As a Ferrari fan, i think i am being realistic.

    • Prisoner Monkeys (@prisoner-monkeys) said on 28th October 2012, 2:21

      Alonso lost the title fight at Spa when Grojean was being a rookie, Suzuka didnt help

      I don’t think so. Although he retired at Spa, he still had a race in hand, and he still managed to extend his lead again at Monza. No, it was Suzuka that really hurt his title chances, because he lost 25 points in a single hit.

      • He lost 25 points in a single hit

        That isn’t quite true, as I’m sure Vettel would’ve won anyway. He was capable of 2nd as Massa showed but still he didn’t lose what Vettel lost in Valencia. Luck seems to have balanced itself out.

  14. Andrei (@andrei) said on 28th October 2012, 1:12

    There’s still a chance for Alonso to win “Best Joke of the Year” contest, though.

    BTW, I’m 50% confident that at least one of McLaren cars will get a DNF. But of course, I’m just a pessimist…

  15. I know the lot of you are based in Europe but let’s face it that money talks.

    Someone brought up “tradition and exciting races” but the Circuit de Catalunya is just above 20 years old, Valencia was borne out of unused port facilities, and Hockenheim and the Nurburgring are only legendary by name.

    • Spa, Monza, Silverstone and Monaco are the only tracks in Europe that deserve legendary status as far as I’m concerned, as they are the only tracks left on the F1 calendar that remain “un Tilke-fied” and have a history spanning more than 4 decades. I am not necessarily in agreement with Bernie however that there should be even less European races, as Europe is still F1′s heartland; the continent which draws the biggest crowds.

      Personally I think Britain should have two rounds of the world championship (I may be slightly biased as I am British) as 9/12 teams are based in Britain. France should also have a round of the World Championship but yes there are certain races (such as Valencia) that aren’t deserving of a full-time slot on the calendar.

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