Why Vettel’s rivals may be disappointed in 2014

F1 history

Sebastian Vettel, Red Bull, Singapore, 2013Rivals of Sebastian Vettel and Red Bull are increasingly vesting their hopes in the 2014 engine rules shake-up as being their best chance of closing the performance gap.

“We will put all our effort and hopes into 2014, because starting from zero is our best opportunity to close the gap with all the top teams,” said Fernando Alonso after the Singapore Grand Prix.

But while F1′s periodic changes in the engine rules used to bring about major change in the competitive order, in recent years it hasn’t been the case.

Early years: New engines, new winners

1952-53: All change in the F2 interregnum

Alfa Romeo dominated the first two years of the world championship. But their withdrawal at the end of 1951 led several race organisers to change their events from Formula One rules to Formula Two, and the championship was therefore run to F2 rules in 1952 and 1953. That was followed by the introduction of a new Formula One in 1954.

Alfa’s departure made the emergence of a new winner in 1952 inevitable, but even so the scale of Ferrari’s dominance was remarkable. Alberto Ascari won nine races in a row at one point, a record which still stands.

The new F1 rules tempted Mercedes back in mid-1954. From that point they were the team to beat until they made an abrupt withdrawal at the end of 1955 following that year’s fatalities in the Le Mans 24 Hours.

1961: Ferrari capitalise on 1.5-litre switch

Phil Hill, Ferrari, Spa-Francorchamps, 1961Concern at rising speeds prompted the introduction of smaller 1.5-litre engines from 1961. While several of the British engine manufacturers opposed the move and tried to block it, Ferrari perfected their new V6 and dominated the season.

The drivers’ championship contest was an all-Ferrari affair, but was settled in tragic circumstances when Wolfgang von Trips was killed at Monza. Ferrari also won the recently-introduced constructors’ championship for the first time.

The only races they failed to win that year were in Monaco and Germany, both due to inspired drives by Stirling Moss, and in America, where they did not compete.

1966: Brabham benefits from return to power

Just two years after the 1.5-litre engines were introduced the Commission Sportive Internationale (fore-runner to the FIA) decided engine capacities would be doubled to three litres in 1966.

Once again the spoils went to the driver and team who had made the best preparations for the new rules. In this case they were one and the same: Jack Brabham won the title driving his own car, the first and only time anyone achieved the feat.

Brabham encouraged Australian automotive components manufacturer Repco to develop a V8 engine for the new formula. While Ferrari were disappointed by the power-to-weight ratio of their V12 and Lotus persevered with BRM’s monstrously heavy H16, Brabham reeled off four consecutive wins in the middle of the year to claim the title.

The modern era: Sustained dominance

1989: McLaren-Honda stay on top as turbo era ends

Ayrton Senna, Alain Prost, McLaren, Montreal, 1989The new engine formula of 1966 also included a provision for turbocharged 1.5-litre engines. By the middle of the eighties these had become ubiquitous, but concerns about expense and safety had arisen.

For 1989 they were finally banned and a maximum capacity of 3.5 litres imposed. Not that it did anything to put the fearful combination of McLaren and Honda off their stride.

In the last year of the turbos they won all but one of the 16 races. In 1989 they won another ten races – a total which would have been even higher had Alain Prost not driven into team mate Ayrton Senna at Suzuka to take back the drivers’ championship.

1995: New engines no problem for Benetton

A cut in engine capacity was ordered for 1995 following the deaths of Ayrton Senna and Roland Ratzenberger at Imola and other dangerous accidents during the season.

But that didn’t stop Michael Schumacher successfully defending his drivers’ title for Benetton. The team’s switch from Ford Cosworth V8 to Renault V10 power proved a wise one, as Renault’s engines won all bar one of the races in 1995.

Schumacher easily swept aside Damon Hill’s Renault-engined Williams while Benetton claimed their first constructors’ crown.

2006: Alonso champion again as V8 era begins

Fernando Alonso, Renault, Montreal, 2006Fernando Alonso ended Schumacher’s five-year dominance of the championship in 2005. His season-ending victory in China was also the last win for a V10 engine in F1, as a new V8 formula was mandated for the following year.

Renault were unfazed by the change. Alonso won first time out in their V8-engined car and by round nine Renault had chalked up seven victories already.

Only a late-season resurgence from Schumacher and Ferrari took the title down to the wire, though a Ferrari engine failure in Japan all but killed off Schumacher’s hopes of an eighth crown.

Over to you

Have the growing resources available to top F1 teams helped them stay dominant despite changes in the engine rules? Do you think Red Bull will stay on top next year?

Have your say in the comments.

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115 comments on Why Vettel’s rivals may be disappointed in 2014

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  1. andae23 (@andae23) said on 25th September 2013, 12:07

    But with their impending withdrawal at the end of 1951 the sport’s governing body chose to run the world championship to Formula Two rules

    Wasn’t it the other way ’round, Alfa didn’t have the money to produce a new car? I could be wrong though…

  2. Alehud42 (@alehud42) said on 25th September 2013, 12:09

    People are expecting a overhaul of levels similar to 2009, forgetting that it was only caused by the ridiculously close 07 and 08 seasons, where Macca and Ferrari spent so much effort into out-doing one another that they put the 09 cars on the back burner.

    This season, however, Vettel and Red Bull have basically wrapped it up with 5-6 races to go, so they can focus on 2014.
    The only hope is that the Renault engine is poop.

    • @alehud42 not only that. The engines might be very different but they have very strict limitations.

      I assume makign the chassis work well with the engine (specially the cooling bit which will be critical) is going to be the talking point. There are a lot of bits and pieces that have changed, and the engines is one of them. But there will be 3 suppliers, and it’s up to the chassis to make the difference again. At least between cars with the same engines.

      How long has Newey been around? more than 20 years. I suspect that he already knows how to be prepared for such change. AND they have this title in the bag…

      And also, we’ve seen Red Bull on the “backfoot” at the first couple of races but in a blink of an eye, they not only reacted and recovered, but they completely overturned the gap and stormed ahead.

      • JCost (@jcost) said on 26th September 2013, 7:23

        @fer-no65

        +1.

        IMHO their recent success is a combination of continuously building a competitive car to start the season and out-developing the rest of the field throughout the season. Their ability to improve the car during the season is fantastic. Red Bull was tremendously fast both at Spa and Monza and then that “soul destroying” performance in Singapore (in Seb’s hands :) to be fair )

    • DC (@dujedcv) said on 25th September 2013, 21:53

      What about Ferrari in 2005 – completely dominant in 2004 and then rules change forbidding tyre changes and suddenly they aren’t even in the top three due to Bridgestones lagging behind Michelins.

    • JCost (@jcost) said on 26th September 2013, 7:05

      @alehud42

      I think Newey and his team won’t get it wrong. Even in 2009, they only missed it because of Brawn’s double difuser advantage in the first half of the season. However, I’d keep an eye in both Ferrari and Mercedes, the latter did impress me how they managed to become such a strong car when a year before they where well off the pace of rivals, and they have some talent in the kitchen and maybe building something that suits better Lewis driving style.

      • bosyber (@bosyber) said on 27th September 2013, 8:57

        Well said @jcost, Red Bull will likely be at the front of the running order again, pwrhaps even fastest.

        But last year McLaren built a faster car and they could do so again, and if Mercedes keeps it up they will be competing too, as will Ferrari and perhaps even Lotus (though right now they sound as if they have already given up and want the rest, or at least Ferrari, to follow ).

        Anyway, I’ll just hope competition keeps working at it and will result in a closer fight through the year.

  3. Lucas Wilson (@full-throttle-f1) said on 25th September 2013, 12:12

    Nooooo!!!!

  4. Franton said on 25th September 2013, 12:16

    As they say on financial websites, “past performance is not indicative of future performances. your investment may go down as well as up.”

    1989 and 1995 are really bad examples. McLaren sabotaged their 1990 efforts by concentrating on making one last final turbo push, while all the other teams were designing cars as a transition to the new 1990 rules. In 1995, Williams were still struggling with a horrible combination of having to relearn how conventional suspensions are designed and set up post active suspension ban plus with the death of Ayrton.

    There are plenty of articles out there that suggest as much. http://liam821.com/pix/info/HondaRA168EEngine.pdf is a good pdf on the engine of the time.

    • antifia (@antifia) said on 25th September 2013, 13:28

      And one cannot forget that in 1995, Benneton only avoided losing out by swaping to what turned out to be the winning engine.

    • Heh, how about McLaren this year? At the end of last season they were among the quickest, if not the quickest, cars. And look where that got them.

      It’s impossible to make any predictions for next year. Although my feeling tells me the engines are probably not going to be the biggest impact. I’m sure each of the manufacturers will manage to produce a top notch engine.

      • Franton said on 25th September 2013, 16:37

        My point exactly. Although i’m expecting levelling of the field due to the effective banning of exhaust blown diffusers.

    • Thanks for that link!

    • Keith Collantine (@keithcollantine) said on 25th September 2013, 22:39

      I’m well aware past performance does not dictate what happens in the future but at the same time I think there is clearly a trend at work here. A lot of people are making an assumption about what is going to happen next year and I’ve seen the assumption been made in similar scenarios in years past and not be borne out.

      McLaren sabotaged their 1990 efforts by concentrating on making one last final turbo push

      In 1990 McLaren won the constructors’ championship and a McLaren driver won the drivers’ championship. And this was two years after the last season with turbo power. So I have no idea what your point is.

      • The biggest mistake a lotof fans are making when harping on about the change of guard to me and I laugh at is the fact that nobody thinks other teams would produce a better car all they want is for redbull to produce a dud there by making thier hereos look good when the come to realise that Redbull out develops anybody in a season they would wake up and smell the coffee although it might be too late then!

    • I would say the 1966 and Brabham story would be the one to give most hope to smaller budget teams, If memory serves me well Lotus were the dominant team in the pre 66 years, Brabhams (much derided) solution to the new engine formula was to simply take a GM alloy 3.5l V8, de-stroke it and fit custom OHC heads, the engine was down on power but up on driveability and reliability. A similar approach could well succeed next year if only the regulations allowed it, the sad reality is that as the allowed differences get ever smaller the gains become ever more important and expensive.
      Aero downforce/drag will no doubt have to be reduced to improve fuel economy but it is hard to see any team doing a better job of this than RBR who have demonstrated their mastery of this area in both high and low downforce set-up this year, but we can all live in hope of another team making a breakthrough next year.

    • JCost (@jcost) said on 26th September 2013, 7:11

      @full-throttle-f1 In absence of better information, men tend to paint the future based on past information, even in financial world most estimates are nothing but weighted averages from historical figures… So I kind get why @keithcollantine went that way but you have a point.

  5. Jason (@jason12) said on 25th September 2013, 12:16

    Wonder why the 2009 shake-up was done so soon after 2006?

    • Alehud42 (@alehud42) said on 25th September 2013, 12:23

      Because the 2006 shake-up was only the change from V10 to V8. The 2009 one was a complete aero overhaul.

    • Red Andy (@red-andy) said on 25th September 2013, 12:25

      They were dealing with different things. 2006 was about engines. 2009 was an attempt to cut the downforce generated by cars on the grounds that all the various vanes and winglets were making it too difficult for cars to follow one another, and hence overtake. Of course, teams merely recouped the downforce lost by exploiting the double diffuser loophole, but the intention was clear.

    • The aero on the 2008 cars was verging on the point of ridiculous. Winglets and fins everywhere.
      The 2009 rules trimmed the aero right down.

  6. jodrell (@jodrell) said on 25th September 2013, 12:24

    Just out of interest…in the years that the engine changes cam in what other rules changed? I think from past experience one of the other changes for next year could turn into Red Bulls’ Achilies heel if Adrian Newey isn’t careful. Anything on the Red Bull that he sees as extra (such as KERS) seems to be packages and shrunk to within an inch, or past it, of it’s life resulting in some delicate systems. The failures of these new systems next year and onwards is going to have a far more significant effect then a simple KERS inconvenience.

    • Jack (@jackisthestig) said on 25th September 2013, 13:58

      The two main things for anyone who isn’t a RedBull or Vettel fan to pin their hopes on are the eradication of exhaust-blowing and the possibility that Newey will underestimate the importance of the KERS, sorry ERS system and compromise it for the sake of aerodynamics.

      The on-throttle blown diffuser, which Red Bull pioneered and explored to the greatest extent was a fundamental reason for their success in 2010 and 2011 as has been the way they adapted to the 2012 exhaust positioning regulations. I was marshalling in the old pitlane at Silverstone in 2011 when off-throttle blowing was temporarily banned. During practice and qualifying every driver took copse in 6th gear, sometimes dropping to 5th if they ran over the kerbs too much on the exit of the corner. Meanwhile, Vettel was in a different gear every lap. Just during Q3, on his first flying lap he tried turning in in 7th before downshifting mid-corner then on his final flying lap he shifted down to 4th before turning-in. You could really see he was a lot more flummoxed by the sudden loss of downforce than any of the others.

      Introducing turbos will totally eradicate any use of exhaust gasses for aerodynamic gains. All of the energy in the high-speed exhaust gas flow is used by the turbo to compress air going into the engine. The waste exhaust flow coming out of the end of the exhaust has very little enery and is completely useless. Turbos will rule out one major source of Red Bull’s dominance.

      As for the hybrid motor ERS (Energy Recovery System), Newey himself has admitted that he originally underestimated the importance of KERS in 2011, approaching it as an afterthought and compromising cooling in order minimize the system’s affect on car packaging and subsequently aerodynamics. Even now we still regularly see the Red Bulls suffering KERS issues.

      Next year ERS will have a far greater effect on car performance that KERS currently has and will be an integral part of the powertrain. The balance between committing resources to development of aerodynamics and the powertrain will need to be re-addressed. Newey’s recent track record could suggest that Red Bull will over-commit on the aero side and compromise the powertrain too much.

      If either of the two issues do play out to such an extent, I’m sure Red Bull will still be competitive and regularly win races but just not be so dominant.

      • W (@yesyesyesandyesagain) said on 25th September 2013, 14:59

        I don’t think the adoption of turbos is going to limit the aerodynamic use of exhaust gases as much as the requirement that there be only one central exhaust at the rear of the car. That far back I don’t imagine there is much you can do to exploit the exhaust.

      • I’m broadly in agreement with what you say, and managing traction without access to this year’s levels of downforce is going to be a very different problem to the one that Newey has excelled in solving under the current regulations.

        Similarly, balancing the different sources of energy is not something Red Bull have a competitive advantage in at present.

        Against that, cooling the various bits of the engine package is likely going to be a much bigger problem next year than this, and managing airflows without incurring drag penalities is an area of competitive advantage for them.

      • And in addition, of course, Sebastian Vettel’s current unique driving style will not be possible next year.

      • J Dubya (@j-dubya) said on 25th September 2013, 16:21

        This is a good analysis, and good points are made. One of the biggest issues is that at RBR there will be continuity of leadership and an excellent design team. All others have been in a massive state of flux and panic; Ferrari, Mercedes, McClaren, Lotus, Williams, Sauber, have been scrambling to assemble and cobble together something to attempt to compete with RBR. Who amoung them might have a chance?

      • ferrox glideh (@ferrox-glideh) said on 25th September 2013, 20:21

        Very interesting post (and article). I suspect Newey will not underestimate the importance of the ERS. It’s been a while since I reviewed the new rules, but it is my understanding that the ERS system will NOT be controlled by the driver directly, but instead will be pre-programmed. What an interesting era to be an aerodynamicist. (However the hell you spell it!) His analysis may actually dictate how and when ERS is used.

      • As W says, it is not “energy” in exhaust gas that Newey exploits, it is the volume of gas that Newey is able to direct into what otherwise would be a low-pressure turbulent area. The new exhaust tip location is designed to prevent any use of exhaust gasses for aero-dynamic benefit.

  7. As I assume the cars will have to be re-designed, because no doubt the new engines will change the center of gravity and they will have a central exhaust so no sealing of the diffuser etc. I don’t think we can assume that Red Bull will have the best package, Adrian Newey isn’t known for producing race winners out of the box. But no doubt his cars will be there a few years later.

    • antifia (@antifia) said on 25th September 2013, 13:16

      I think you hit the nail on the head. This is my prediction: Newey will certainly catch up through the season, but the star car from the start will be Ross Brawn’s Mercedes. In such situations, he is a master of finding that big advantage coming out a development that, although blatantly against the spirit of the regulations, can be proved to have strictly stuck to their letter – or so will the FIA say (he never loses there). He will then proceed to win six out of the first seven races of the season – their big advantage only being blunted by the time the circus come to Europe, when the other teams develop their own whatever that they thought was illegal, but turned out to be not. However, since his top driver is now Lewis, he will continue to be very competitive till the end of the year, winning the title in a much easier manner than it was the case in 2009.
      Remember- you heard it here first :)

      • JerseyF1 (@jerseyf1) said on 25th September 2013, 13:41

        Remember- you heard it here first :)

        This isn’t even an accurate summary of the past, never mind the future.

        Brawn didn’t find the big advantage in 2009, it was a group of Honda engineers who found it. Brawn also didn’t go against the spirit of the regulations since he told the working group that the rule changes wouldn’t work in cutting downforce because of this loophole and offered a chance to avoid the situation, they chose to assume that Honda had made a mistake with their numbers and Brawn quite rightly built a car to the rules.

        Mercedes could well come out on top, but I think that finding the “new big thing” will be something that huge numbers of engineers across all teams will be working to find and not just Brawn.

        I for one can’t wait to see what the engineers (including Brawn) and teams come up with.

      • You have conveniently forgotten that 2 other teams also started 09 with double diffusers!

  8. karter22 (@karter22) said on 25th September 2013, 12:28

    Well I for one certainly hope so! I have faith that Ferrari will produce a cracker of a turbo engine and paired with ALO and RAI, it could be a scary combination!

  9. Kiril Varbanov (@kiril-varbanov) said on 25th September 2013, 12:36

    Old performance cannot serve as a base for future, and that’s for sure.
    2014 will be a ‘null’ year for some teams – especially those who are having bad packages. We shall see lots of reliability issues, lots of rule changes and lots of scandals – I bet any money on that. We can safely judge something after 2015 when the rules settle down.

    As for Vettel and RBR – their machine-like, precise way of working cannot be unlearned, and with no doubt they will be the team to beat. Still, until the very few races in the 2014 everything will be speculation.

    For the sake of shake-up: I really hope we are not going to see dominant wins like Singapore. The season is really over, when the only thing we talk about is some taxi-gate and booing.

  10. Patrick (@paeschli) said on 25th September 2013, 12:39

    I think that if you want to know if RB is gonna dominate next year, we must check why they have been dominating the past 4 years.

    First, they have a perfect correlation between the simulations in the wind tunnel and the reality. That won’t change next year.

    Secondly, they’re the leaders in aeroelasticity and in controlling aerodynamic fluxes.

    Third, they understand completely the Coanda effect and they are quick to copy and improve others inventions.

    These three things will remain the same next year, so RB will definitely be a top 3 team next year.

  11. A healthy ‘engineering competition’ (as someone in the paddock calls F1, I can’t remember who) requires potential for innovation from anywhere, no matter what the budget. There has to be grounds to produce genuinely new design ideas and directions that are not the result of simply massive investment but sometimes require creative spark from a junior member in a design team (maybe at Caterham, who knows) getting paid £20k a year (as an analogy, this is also the case for natural evolution, whereby a small mutation in the genotype could cause a large change in phenotype). Likewise, the failure of Toyota and their massive budget was actually a success for F1 because it showed competition was to some extent healthy.

    Now, there are two ways of allowing for variation in F1 as far as I can see it:

    * The design window is made large and stays constant (the ‘golden era’ of F1).
    * The design window is small, but changes frequently year on year (the ‘golden era’ of F1 and today).

    The first of these is gone, with every F1 car looking more or less the same due to the technical regs and the homogenisation of design due to safety and cost (ahem) reasons. So we’re left with the second, and therefore I don’t buy that its a given Red Bull will be at the front next year. It really is the chance for someone to do something interesting, and that isn’t necessarily going to be found by Newey and his team. The lack of EBDs is going to affect Red Bull in my opinion. This may or may not be wishful thinking, but I’d like to think there are new people with new ideas since 2009 that can come up with some genuine innovations for 2014.

    The lack of RRA aside, although Fernandes bemoans the reg changes, its actually there best chance he has to make some progression. Without it 100% they’d stay at the back of the grid for the next 10 years!

  12. I’m hoping Team Brackley can get an early upper hand on the field like in 2009 (even though they were only aero changes). I’m expecting Red Bull up there as I just can’t imagine them not being! It’s all ifs and buts at the moment of course, but I think one team could dominate out of Red Bull, Mercedes, Ferrari and perhaps McLaren.

  13. petebaldwin (@petebaldwin) said on 25th September 2013, 12:48

    If the rules were staying the same, Red Bull would win comfortably again. With the rules chaning, others at least start with a blank canvas and stand a chance of catching up.

    It’s the perfect time for Ricciardo to join Red Bull as it’s a fresh car rather than one developed over years to suit Seb so at least if Red Bull are dominant again, hopefully Ricciardo can do a better job than Webber.

  14. Akshay (@hamilfan) said on 25th September 2013, 12:54

    In a recent interview after Singapore GP, Adrian Newey said that all the parts they are bringing are relevant to next year’s car as well and that the 2014 car and the current car are like cousins in a way . Now , If that is not a warning , I don’t know what is .

    I sincerely hope either Ferrari or Mercedes or even Mclaren pull their socks up .

    • Lucas Wilson (@full-throttle-f1) said on 25th September 2013, 13:35

      @hamilfan

      What is dominant this year might not be so next year.

    • Shreyas Mohanty (@) said on 25th September 2013, 16:40

      @hamilfan Or he could just be playing mind games – you never know. And he had actually said that the present updates were cousins of sorts. Just mind games, these sort of things can bring the morale down severely in rival teams.

      • Akshay (@hamilfan) said on 25th September 2013, 17:04

        @shreyasf1fan Possible . But I remember even Brawn was saying something to the tune of “we have to find updates that are somewhat closer to next years car ” or something . Now , about Ferrari ,is Rory Byre directly involved with the 2014 ferrari or is he kind of in the background ?

        I seriously hope RBR don’t dominate the flyaway races . My patience as it is , is running thin . I mean no insult to them , they are doing a fantastic job , but I am just bored of seeing the same guy win with very high margins.

        • Shreyas Mohanty (@) said on 25th September 2013, 20:25

          @hamilfan I am pretty sure the whole of the Ferrari staff, not just Rory Byrne, are dedicating 80%+ of their attention to their 2014 car, as are most teams. Frankly, RBR will almost certainly have a weak start next year (by their standards) – no more using the exhaust gases for speed advantages in corners, and Vettel will have to move out of his comfort zone too, given the very different way the RB10 will behave on track from the RB9. That applies to all drivers, but more so for Vettel.
          Yeah, I hope they stop dominating the way they are. Just imagine a Vettel-Alonso-Hamilton battle for the win. *sigh* But my bet is on Sebastian Vettel winning all remaining races this season.

          When did Ross Brawn say that? I tried googling but got nothing. Could you send me a link to the article or video mate?

          • This might be the one..

            Brawn said ““There are areas of the 2013 car that we will continue to develop, almost until the end of season because they can follow on to 2014. If we look at suspension systems; we think fundamentally the tyres will be similar next year and therefore developing suspension systems is entirely relevant for next season.”

            http://www.formula1.com/news/headlines/2013/8/14867.html

          • Akshay (@hamilfan) said on 26th September 2013, 5:05

            @shreyasf1fan

            http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b5Bsu1ZZu48

            He says something about trying to find updates that are relevant to 2014 . But I think by the time he was saying it Red Bull already found it . Red Bull just have so much development and each and every update of them works well . I am amazed how they manage to do it . I mean ,It’s not a question of funds as the big three are close to level on that . It’s not because Ferrari and Mercedes guys just have a snooze in between weekends as the media make them out to be . What to say ? I am just amazed . BTW do Ferrari and Mercedes bring parts to every race ? I don’t think so . Maybe alternate races . But no one knows what RBR are doing ( If Ferrari bring a wing update , somehow we come to know of it ) . Maybe that is the pivotal point in their success .

  15. I think the change in the rules will certainly change the order in championship. It is not silly to hope that. And the rule changes does not include only engines, but other parts as well. While RBR had a solid bed to build their cars based on success and experience from previous years in this aero era, they will need to start a lot from scratch at the begging of 2014, so will have the others as well. Who will come on top? RBR might beat the others again, but is no indication that they will be on top because of these years cars, it will be an indication that they have done a better job again.
    Lets talk about engines. The most important thing seems to be that there will be some freedom at tuning these engines, so we may expect some changes during the year in regard to engine efficiency. Also, being new engines, I would be very surprised if we don’t see reliability failures next year. No matter how many thousands of hours these engines will do on the dyno, the real test will be the track.
    And then we have ERS, e complete new field to play with.
    And then the cut on the aero efficiency, like the diffuser and smaller wings.
    On the other hand, Ferrari for example has had continuous wind tunnel problems. They are using Cologne wind tunnel at the moment which logistically is very complicated and not efficient at all. But now they are set to use the new wind tunnel for 2014. Who knows, they might have got it right this time.

    So to summarize, I do expect changes next year. If RBR comes again on top, then they will prove that they do really have the best team at the moment, but not because of the current success.

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