Let me provide a bit more reasoning to back-up my previous post.
Ferrari isn’t that far behind Red Bull anymore. In fact, based on the last couple of races I’d say Red Bull has the edge over Ferrari at best. The Maranello team has been demonic in development and I wouldn’t be surprised if they have the fastest car by the end of the season. In Silverstone, Alonso would’ve won if he was on the same strategy as the Red Bull’s and his teammate Massa were on. Hell, if 2012′s Massa is fast, then you know the car is fast!
Vettel is already 26 points behind Alonso, and Alonso being himself is going to make it very difficult to make up such an advantage. Ask Raikkonen for any evidence. Vettel will need a stellar 2nd half of the season, and if he has one more poor race where Alonso wins, it could already be game over for Sebastian.
Ferrari isn’t far of Red Bull. Alonso already has a considerably margin advantage over Vettel. And in my view, he’s the superior driver. Likewise, I sadly can’t see Webber becoming champion. In my view, he just doesn’t have the “it” factor in him. He’s too inconsistent.
Other than the Red Bull drivers, who else could challenge Alonso? Hamilton? Mclaren are falling drastically behind in development. Raikkonen? Despite having the car to do it, Lotus just can’t seem to win, or put one perfect weekend together for that matter. Rosberg? Maybe if Mercedes could be more consistent with the performances they had in China and Monaco.
So yeah, I think I’ve made it obvious on why I believe will be champion this season.