WOW! What an Italian Grand Prix! Back, with another points summary ;)
Standings:
Sebastian Vettel 284
Fernando Alonso 172 (-112)
Jenson Button 167 (-117)
Mark Webber 167 (-117)
Hamilton Hamilton 158 (-126)
Let’s see now. There’s 150 to play for; with 125 at the end of the Singaporean Grand Prix. This means that it is entirely plausible, and possible, that Sebastian can and will seal the title in Singapore.
VERY VERY CRUCIALLY, there are now 6 races left. This means that the maximum number of wins a rival could have this year is 8; and Sebastian has more than enough 2nd places to beat the countback to his rivals. That means he has to achieve a gap of 125 rather than 126 in Singapore to WIN THE TITLE.
Hamilton Hamilton is in dire trouble – if Hamilton finishes BEHIND Sebastian in Singapore; he will be knocked out of the title race – will he be asked to play support for Button then? Will he?
For him to clinch the title in the next race in Singapore, he must outscore:
Fernando by 13 points
Webber by 8 points
Button by 8 points
Equal Hamilton
As a win is 7 points over 2nd; that means that a win is not enough for Vettel. If Webber or Button comes second; Vettel CANNOT clinch the title)
For what it’s worth, for him to clinch the title in Suzuka, with 100 to play for after the race, he can let the following happen and still be the champion:
Fernando can outscore him by 12 points (6 average)
Webber/Button can outscore him by 17 points (8.5 average)
Hamilton can outscore him by 26 points (13 average)
For Korea, with 75 points to play for after the race ends,
Fernando can outscore him by 37 points (12.33 average)
Webber & Button can outscore him by 42 points (14 average)
Hamilton can outscore him by 51 points (17 average)
For India, with 50 points to play for after the race ends,
Fernando can outscore him by 62 points (15.5 average)
Webber/Button can outscore him by 67 points (16.75 average)
Hamilton can outscore him by 76 points (19 average)
For Abu Dhabi, with 25 points to play for after the race ends,
Fernando can outscore him by 87 points (17.4 average)
Webber/Button can outscore him by 92 points (18.4 average)
Hamilton can outscore him by 101 points (20.2 average)
For Brazil, being the last race,
Fernando can outscore him by 112 points (18.67 average)
Webber/Button can outscore him by 117 points (19.5 average)
Hamilton can outscore him by 126 points (21 average)
It’s worth noting at this point that IF THE INDIAN GRAND PRIX REALLY IS IN TROUBLE; SEBASTIAN VETTEL IS THE 2011 WORLD CHAMPION ALREADY
For Sebastian to clinch the title in Singapore!!
If he wins;
Fernando has to finish 4th, maximum
Jenson/Webber has to finish 3rd, maximum (If either finishes 2nd though; that means Vettel just has to take 1 point on them again)
If he comes 2nd;
Fernando has to finish 8th, maximum (yeah right; like Nando will finish 8th in Singapore)
Jenson/Webber has to finish 5th, maximum
Hamilton can’t win
If he comes 3rd;
Fernando has to finish 9th, maximum
Jenson/Webber has to finish 7th, maximum
If he comes 4th;
Fernando has to finish 10th, maximum
Jenson/Webber has to finish 8th, maximum
If he comes 5th, no title yet.
No matter what happens, Lewis must finish ahead of Sebastian here.
Alrighty. Seeya in 2 weeks folks!
