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How many championships will Hamilton, Alonso and Vettel win?

This topic contains 33 replies, has 19 voices, and was last updated by Avatar of Kingshark Kingshark 1 year, 9 months ago.

Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 34 total)
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  • #132000
    Avatar of mclaren
    mclaren
    Participant

    I was just wanting views on how many championships these 3 drivers are likely to end up getting;

    Alonso: I think Alonso will end his career as a 4 time World Champion
    Vettel: I can see Vettel matching Fangio’s 5 World Championships
    Hamilton: Hard one to predict but i think Hamilton will also end a 5 times World Champion

    #208916
    Avatar of Ben Needham
    Ben Needham
    Participant

    …so you think these guys will be the only forces over the next 9 years?

    I think more likely Alonso could get 4, Vettel would do well to get 4 unless Red Bull dominate again, and I can’t see Hamilton getting more than 2 or 3.

    #208917
    Avatar of infernojim
    infernojim
    Participant

    I think Alonso will get 4, Vettel 4, and Hamilton 2.

    #208918
    Avatar of RagingInferno
    RagingInferno
    Participant

    Alonso: 4, possibly 5 if his form remains near to how it is at the moment.

    Vettel: 4, he’s still young and got 2 under his belt already.

    Hamilton: 3, doesn’t seem to consistently be on good form, though with the kind of pace this guy has I’d be surprised if he didn’t get at least 1 more WDC.

    #208919
    Avatar of raymondu999
    raymondu999
    Participant

    I think Vettel will end out a 5-time champ at least. Alonso has at least another title in him, possibly a 4th title too. Hamilton i think probably has 1 more title to take.

    Note that I don’t think this is necessarily equal to their talents – just that this will be the way things pan out for them.

    #208920
    Avatar of Estesark
    Estesark
    Participant

    I’d guess Alonso 3, Vettel 4 (more time), Hamilton 2. It’s difficult to see beyond those three for the immediate future, but I’m sure someone new will come along to surprise us. Räikkönen could also win another title if he gets a fast enough car.

    #208921
    Avatar of Slr
    Slr
    Participant

    I think Alonso and Vettel can win roughly three more. With Hamilton, I think he will be a three or four time champion by the time he’s retired.

    Actually Fangio is a 4-time champ rather than 5-time, no?

    No, he was a five time champion.

    #208922
    Avatar of auto_freak
    auto_freak
    Participant

    Hamilton will probably be a 2 time or 3 time world champion. Vettel can quite frankly get 5 titles if not more. He is much more consisent when he gets the best car. He is bound to get the fastest cars at Red Bull or Ferrari (where he will probably end up in the future). Alonso will probably win 2 more titles. So 4 at most for him. Can’t see him carrying the same speed as today for more than 3 years.

    #208923
    Avatar of Colossal Squid
    Colossal Squid
    Participant

    Alonso – 4. Hopefully this year then another right at the end.

    Vettel – 5. He’s got two, he’s very young, and he’ll have no problem staying in demand at top teams.

    Hamilton – 3. He’s bound to McLaren in my view. He lives and dies with them. If he wins it this year then I think he’ll win 4 and Alonso 3. Hamilton’s the greatest unknown – can everything that he seems to be caught up in (the contract negotiations, ‘strained’ relationship with his team, celebrity lifestyle and over the past few years somewhat inconsistent form) – be overcome? If he can, then who knows?

    #208924
    Avatar of Kingshark
    Kingshark
    Participant

    I was interested in doing this thread myself, but I’m happy that someone’s done it for me!

    Usually, the best way to predict the future is to look at what’s happened so far, and make a prediction of how this era will ultimately end. Thus far, Vettel is 25 and has competed in 94 races. Hamilton is 27 and has competed in 104 races and Alonso is 31 and has competed in 190 races; as Alonso is quite a bit older than the other two he enjoyed a great deal of success before Hamilton and Vettel were even in Formula One.

    Disclaimer: I know that what’s happened in the past isn’t necessary a correct indicator, I just want to list some facts to compare these 3 top drivers.

    Nonetheless, by far the most logical way to statistically compare the three men is by Vettel’s base and what he’s accomplished so far as he is the youngest and least experienced. He has entered 94 grand prix weekends so far so let’s compare than to Lewis and Fernando’s 94 first GP’s.

    Sebastian Vettel
    2 Driver
    2 Constructors
    22 Victories
    40 Podiums

    Lewis Hamilton
    1 Drivers
    0 Constructors
    17 Victories
    48 Podiums

    Fernando Alonso

    2 Drivers
    2 Constructors
    17 Victories
    42 Podiums

    In terms of statistics thus-far, Vettel and Alonso are neck in neck after 94 race weekends; both had won 2 WDC’s and WCC’s at that time. However, Vettel had 5 more wins and Alonso 2 more podiums; overall Vettel is slightly ahead of Alonso, and both are ahead of Hamilton by quite a margin.

    #208925
    Avatar of raymondu999
    raymondu999
    Participant

    @Kingshark – are the podium stats only for P2 P3 finishes, or did you include victories?

    #208926
    Avatar of Kingshark
    Kingshark
    Participant

    @raymondy999 – I included victories. Podiums in general means you’ve finished in the top 3 and got to spray champagne.

    That being said. I predict that all three of them will likely retire at the age of 35 or so. Alonso will be 35 in 2016 and that’s when his Ferrari contract runs out, Hamilton in 2020 and Vettel in 2022. Then, when it’s all said and done I predict this will be what each one of these three men will have accomplished (estimations);

    Vettel
    5 Championships
    70 Victories
    140 Podiums
    90 Pole Positions

    Hamilton
    2 Championships
    40 Victories
    100 Podiums
    45 Pole Positions

    Alonso
    4 Championships
    45 Victories
    120 Podiums
    35 Pole positions

    #208927
    Avatar of raymondu999
    raymondu999
    Participant

    @Kingshark 90 poles for Vettel!? That’s a lot… even Schumi hasn’t broken 70.

    #208928
    Avatar of Kingshark
    Kingshark
    Participant

    Vettel is 25, and he’s already third in the # of pole positions at 33. If he races competitive for another decade he’ll have 80-90 poles easily IMO. Ayrton Senna had 65 pole positions but his career was only 10 years and 161 GP’s long. Vettel will likely drive much longer than that.

    This pole position record is Vettel’s now, there’s no way he’s losing it. Hell, if he races until he’s 37-39 then I wouldn’t be surprised if his # of pole positions becomes a 3-digit number (100+).

    In terms of wins however, I can’t see anyone surpassing Schumacher. His stats are just too good.

    #208929
    Avatar of raymondu999
    raymondu999
    Participant

    Fair point. I don’t see it happening, personally – but I accept your reasoning.

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