Red Bull shouldn’t have quite the big advantage they had over Ferrari in Brazil, but the RB6 should still be the faster car.
You have to assume that Alonso will be on the podium, bar any break-downs or tangles in the first corner.
All Red Bull have to do is finish first and second. You’d have to say that they will more than likely lock out the front row during qualifying, and since they’re no longer racing each other, reliability problems is all that can harm them.
I’m expecting a reasonably straight-forward race in Abu Dhabi. I don’t think Alonso will have the pace of the Red Bulls, and since Webber and Vettel are now working together, it’ll make the race a lot easier for them.
As for strategy, I guess it would make sense to switch Vettel and Webber early on in the race (assuming Vettel out-qualifies Webber)- that way Webber has more flexibility in terms of pitstops, tyre strategy and fuel management, and Vettel can act as a sort of “buffer”, should Alonso turn out to be up to the Red Bull’s pace.