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F1

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F1 discussion

Points permutations 2012

This topic contains 3 replies, has 3 voices, and was last updated by Profile photo of raymondu999 raymondu999 1 year, 11 months ago.

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  • #132314
    Profile photo of raymondu999
    raymondu999
    Participant

    With Vettel and Alonso the only 2 folks able to do the title, here’s how they stick up:
    Vettel 255
    Alonso 245

    That’s 10 points between the two.

    The championship leader can always clinch the title at the penultimate round, so Vettel can now. In order for Vettel to do that he must outscore Alonso by 15 points. If he does beat Alonso by 15 points that means Vettel will win countback anyways – so he just has to draw level with Alonso on points. (If Alonso is to beat Vettel on count back, he has to win)

    In order for Vettel to clinch the title in Austin, one of the following must occur:

    If Vettel wins:
    – Alonso finishes 5th or lower

    If Vettel gets P2:
    – Alonso finishes 9th or lower

    If Vettel gets P3:
    Alonso doesn’t score

    Any other outcome means the title goes down to the wire.

    #214233
    Profile photo of andae23
    andae23
    Participant

    And the only times those combinations have occured so far this season, were Bahrain (VET 1, ALO 7) Belgium (VET 2, ALO dnf) and Japan (VET 1, ALO dnf). So we have a probability of 83% this championship will be decided at Interlagos.

    #214234
    Profile photo of Michael
    Michael
    Participant

    The way Vettel’s luck has been running I wouldn’t be surprised if a UFO with a red bull logo comes down and abducts Alonso mid-race in Austin:-)

    #214235
    Profile photo of raymondu999
    raymondu999
    Participant

    @andae23 arguably, even higher than that. Bahrain happened at a time when the Ferrari wasn’t as competitive as it is now, and Belgium happened where Alonso wasn’t at fault.

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