I think the safest bet is Vettel. He seems on form and the chance that he will get a car good enough to win the championship is probably quite high considering the last two-three years.
It could be cool if the Lotus was as good as the testing so far suggests (though Williams looked similarly quick last year and look how they turned out…) and Raikönnen could snatch the title in his comeback.
Or if HRT suddenly.. oh wait no forget it. My fantasy wont even allow that to happen. Never mind the cruel reality.
I’m going to be patriotic and say Hamilton or Button. Probably Hamilton out of the two. I’m just praying Vettel has a weaker season. Based on Ferrari’s reaction to the new car, I’m not sure they’ll be quick enough out of the box for Alonso to challenge or not. And even if Vettel is a bit weaker, I seriously doubt that Webber can overhaul him.
I think Schumacher and Rosberg could be up for it if the car turns out to match the hype. Then it will be a classic battle of youth against experience(I’m not suggesting that Nico is inexperienced but he hasn’t come under the real pressure of a title fight). There is the question of the slot in the RB nose and what that might be. Ferrari won last year when the FIA restricted the blown diffuser engine mapping so they had a fast car anyway. There is no reason to suggest that they dont have one this time. McLaren are hard to read and it’s too early to comment other than to mention that if it is a mistake then MW will be on the dole and Lewis will be elsewhere. Might even herald the return of Ron.:) It might just be that the change in regs will bring about multiple winners and that would be a good thing. As for who will eventually win, I haven’t the slightest idea but Melbourne should be a good indication.