Report: Vijay Mallya is $1B in debt (21 posts)

  • Profile picture of Adam Tate Adam Tate said 1 year, 6 months ago:

    Uh-Oh…there goes the yacht.

  • Profile picture of AndrewTanner AndrewTanner said 1 year, 6 months ago:

    Thanks for the insight, Nik. I’ve never been good with finances!

  • Profile picture of Prisoner Monkeys Prisoner Monkeys said 1 year, 6 months ago:

    It is much harder to build a sustainable and profitable business.

    Difficult? It sounds like it’s one step short of a Ponzi scheme – as soon you run out of investors (or in this case, loanees), it all falls apart.

    Here’s the latest on Kingfisher and Mallya:

    Shares in Kingfisher lose 18% of their value (down 65% for the year) – http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/11/18/kingfisher-idUSL3E7MI0PH20111118

    Mallya is on the very of a $370 million bail-out thanks to a consortium for 14 banks – http://www.hindustantimes.com/News-Feed/corporatenews/Kingfisher-nearing-deal-to-save-airline-Reports/Article1-770755.aspx

    Kingfisher is in danger of dragging other airliners with it – http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/news-by-industry/transportation/airlines-/-aviation/jet-airways-says-air-india-fares-create-problem-as-kingfisher-airlines-cuts-flights/articleshow/10774946.cms

    I can’t imagine him holding onto Force India for much longer. But nor do I think he will let go of it willingly. He’s already up poo creek, but he keeps blaming everything else and tries to save the airliner with more loans.

  • Profile picture of BasCB BasCB said 1 year, 6 months ago:

    @prisoner-monkeys,

    it sounds like it’s one step short of a Ponzi scheme

    if you look at many big transactions they have more often than not been pretty close to that in the past decade or so, what @nik describes is really quite normal in bussiness. That is the reason why the financial crisis takes many things this far off course, as a lot goes “suddenly” rotten when the already sold increse in revenues fails to come.

    Whats interesting/fascinating for me in that article is this part

    Subodh Agrawal, the London-based merchant banker who finances Indian takeovers, said while the ‘King of Good Times’ may be flagging right now, he believes Kingfisher’s cancellations are part of a cunning strategy to reconfigure his airliners and complete his withdrawal from the loss-making low-cost flight sector.
    “India is going to suffer, but it isn’t a story which has gone bad. In the long run the growth potential is huge. It is a smart move by Mallya to get out of low cost airlines,” he said.

    Shows you how it really pays off to have BIG problems so your creditors or a government can’t really afford to write off what they lent.

  • Profile picture of Prisoner Monkeys Prisoner Monkeys said 1 year, 6 months ago:

    It might be common in the business world, but it still sounds like a Ponzi scheme – under a Ponzi scheme, everything falls apart when you run out of investors; under Mallya’s business model, everything starts to fall apart when he runs out of banks willing to give him a loan.

  • Profile picture of Divye Divye said 1 year, 6 months ago:

    I do not think money would be a problem for Mallaya, he has a very solid business in India. He is primarily into liquor… the airline piece is not doing that well (which is only 1 of the many businesses he has). Also its because of the liquor business that not a lot of people like him in india otherwise he has done some great things for the country…

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