…is likely to be wet on Saturday and even more so on Sunday, according to the initial forecast on Formula1.com a week ahead.
I think the only way Alonso could pull out the necessary gap between him and Vettel is rain on both days. A Saturday-only rain will likely not be enough, because even if he starts ahead of Vettel and possibly go ahead to win on a dry Sunday, Sebastian would surely finish in the top 5 in case it remains dry barring a disaster for him on Saturday, like crashing out in Q1. Even so, he is capable of finishing in the top 5 as we’ve seen before.
In a wet race… anything can happen.
So a wet-wet is the only chance, I hope it will stay or be like this by the time the sessions begin.
This is beginning the shape up as a drama already.
I think we should be cautious. We shouldnt pray for rain, because we might get a lot. Rain would be good for the final, but it should be just showers, because if we have torrential rain, then the race might not last long enough for full scores.
Well, I think most of the time the forecast one week ahead very roughly matched the eventual conditions at the race weekends. Of course not by minutes, like shower coming at 2:35 PM Saturday, but as a whole: wet weekend or not.
I think it has some relevance to know that rain is a serious possibility and not only some hot air threw in by Alonso or others in the last couple of days.
Thought about this ridiculous but possible scenario: Vettel qualifies on pole, wet race, Vettel crashes out, Alonso in the lead, race red-flagged half way through because of rain, race abandoned. Vettel 273 points – Alonso 272,5. Vettel WDC 2012.
@naylamp Actually, as far as the 0.5 point deficit is concerned, it is anything but. Remember, Lauda snatched the 1984 WDC from Prost by that margin in the closest championship in F1 ever.
But yeah, a fun scenario. I think a wet weekend would certianly spice things up, although I am not dare devising scenarios – the reality will be different and more nail-biting than all the permutations, I have this feeling.