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What are Hamilton, Raikkonen and Webber’s title chances? (31 posts)

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Thecollaroyboys said 7 months, 3 weeks ago:

Fair, possible and remote.

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Jake said 7 months, 3 weeks ago:

@matt90 I have to agree with you. I often look at the championship table and think Hamilton can’t catch Alonso. But the I look at it and think, he could easily catch Vettel, and Vettel could catch Alonso, so therefore, Hamilton can clearly catch Alonso.

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raymondu999 said 7 months, 3 weeks ago:

@jleigh your logic is somewhat flawed. Say Hamilton had it in him to make up 40 points on the rest of the field, and Vettel had it in him to make 30 points on the rest. That means Vettel can catch Alonso – and Hamilton can catch Vettel – but it means Hamilton CAN’T catch Alonso.

I agree that Hamilton can catch Alonso – but I don’t agree that your reasons are the correct ones.

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Kingshark said 7 months, 3 weeks ago:

Hypothetically, if Hamilton were to win every single one of the remaining 6 GP’s, Vettel were to be second, and Alonso third; this would be the final result of the season:

1.) Hamilton – 292
2.) Alonso – 284
3.) Vettel – 273

Of course, that’s just an IF.

BTW, one thing that’s really great about this seasons championship is that the guy with the third/fourth best car is leading the championship, the guy with the second best car trails him by 29 points, and the guy with the best car trails him by another 23 points. That makes it all the more tense. The pecking order is nearly perfect! :P

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duncanmonza said 7 months, 3 weeks ago:

@kingshark You’re forgetting Raikkonen. The Lotus will be Faster than the Red Bull in the remaining races. Trust me, I’m a doctor.

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Estesark said 7 months, 3 weeks ago:

@duncanmonza – they might be at Korea, but it’s already clear that they’re not in Japan, and some of the upcoming tracks are unquestionably Red Bull territory (Abu Dhabi, for example). I think Vettel will outscore Räikkönen over the rest of the season, which is another way of saying that I don’t think Räikkönen will win the championship.

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Kingshark said 7 months, 3 weeks ago:

and some of the upcoming tracks are unquestionably Red Bull territory (Abu Dhabi, for example).

What? Abu Dhabi is unquestionably Mclaren territory. Even in 2010 and 2011, when Red Bull had a dominant car, it was still Mclaren who had an equally good car or the best car around Yas Marina circuit.

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Prisoner Monkeys said 7 months, 3 weeks ago:

Of the three, I think Hamilton has the best chance at the championship. The McLaren is a very good car, and should suit at least four of the upcoming circuits. Hamilton’s biggest challenge is that he is going to need other results to go his way to stay in the title fight.

Raikkonen, I think, does not have much of a chance. He is probably going to need at least two wins before the end of the season if he wants to be champion, and he is probably going to need them sooner, rather than later. And for that to happen, Lotus really need to work on their race management.

As for Webber, he is such a rank outsider that although he is technically in with a shot, he will only be champion if Vettel suffers a string of problems with his car. Any time Red Bull is on or near the top of the heap, they will back Vettel because Vettel is much closer to Alonso than Webber is.

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Kingshark said 7 months, 3 weeks ago:

PM, I’m interested to know why you consider Hamilton a bigger favorite than Vettel or Alonso. In Singapore, Mclaren were only the best in qualifying. In terms of race pace, Red Bull and even Ferrari were able to match them. Lewis is 23 points behind Sebastian, and a mountain of 52 points, or over 2 wins behind Fernando.

Just curious.

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Nicholas Sunderland said 7 months, 3 weeks ago:

Anybody remember how 5 years ago, a certain Finn was nearly 2 race wins down with 2 races to go? A huge advantage can collapse with just a couple of mistakes.

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Kingshark said 7 months, 3 weeks ago:

Uh, Hamilton isn’t winning this championship. How on Earth he is 1.1 seconds slower than Button and 1.5 seconds slower than Vettel? I believe Mclaren sabotaged his car.

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Estesark said 7 months, 2 weeks ago:

@kingshark Red Bull, specifically Sebastian Vettel, won there twice in the first two years and took pole in the third before suffering a puncture. Given their form last year, I’m quite sure they would have won then too had it not been for that misfortune. That’s why it strikes me as being a track that suits them.

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Kingshark said 7 months, 2 weeks ago:

@Estesark – Hamilton took pole by half a second in 2009 but had 2 laps less fuel than Vettel, before he retired due mechanical problems. Hamilton missed out on pole position by 0.03 seconds in 2010, when the RB6 was dominant in various other places. And in 2011, a dominant Red Bull only took pole position because Lewis screwed up in Q3. His Q2 lap was quicker than Vettel’s pole lap. That’s why I see Yas Marina as a Mclaren circuit. However, now it isn’t Red Bull, but rather Mclaren who have the best package overall.

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James Blackman said 7 months, 2 weeks ago:

I placed a bet on Raikkonen as he is quick… however I think this is how it will pan out.

1. Vettel
2. Hamilton
3. Raikkonen <– simply has he has scored consistently and just needs to a solid finish.

Red Bull will win the constructors.

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duncanmonza said 7 months, 2 weeks ago:

I think it will be:

1. Alonso
2. Hamilton
3. Raikkonen
4. Vettel
5. Button
6. Webber

McLaren will be constructors champions from Red Bull.

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