I started this topic last year and everyone went for Mercedes. But will that happen again in 2011? I think it could be very close.
Here’s a reminder of last year’s scores and this year’s contenders:
Mercedes – 736
Renault – 661
Ferrari – 453
Cosworth – 69
Mercedes – McLaren, Mercedes, Force India
Renault – Red Bull, Renault, Lotus
Ferrari – Ferrari, Sauber, Toro Rosso
Cosworth – Williams, Virgin, Hispania
I imagine it’s going to be between Mercedes and Renault this year, but I don’t think it’s easy to predict.
Renault engines could emerge on top if the Red Bull and Renault teams manage to stay ahead of McLaren and Mercedes respectively. Then it would come down to whether Force India score enough points to plug the gap.
But Mercedes always have a strong hand. McLaren look like championship-contenders, the Mercedes works team will likely be close to the podiums and Force India can generally be relied upon to soak up lots of top-ten finishes.
The Ferrari engine remains an outside candidate, the manufacturer team could yet be the top team in 2011 and Sauber and Toro Rosso have both built very good cars by their standards this year.
Cosworth don’t stand a chance, but nonetheless they build good engines.
Mercedes give engines to 3 teams: Mercedes, McLaren, Force India.
Ferrari give engines to 3 teams: Ferrari, Sauber and Toro Rosso.
Renault give engines to 3 teams: Renault, Red Bull, Lotus.
Cosworth give engines to 3 teams: Williams, Virgin HRT.
Now look at which of the 4 groups is the best: Mercedes, then Renault, then Ferrari, then Cosworth.
But if Sauber and Toro Rosso continue like this, we could have Ferrari higher up. If Mercedes are bad, Ferrari could overtake them. Renault is quite strong and Red Bull is the best so even though Lotus gets 0 points Renault can be on top. The fight might be close.
As others have said, It will be between Renault and Mercedes engines with the placing of the factory teams determining the result. Although if Ferrari manage to beat McLaren then the Renault engine will be victorious.