Hamilton has 25% (1 in 4) ‘normal wins’, while Vettel has 21% (1 in 4.75) ‘normal wins’; in statistics, certainly with only 16 and 19 wins to go by, that is called negligible.
Going by the standards Filippinator has set for a normal win, I’ve made a comparison between Lewis Hamilton’s wins and Sebastian Vettel’s wins. So ‘adventage wins’ are races (by Filippinator’s standards) that have been won…
- in a wet or partially wet race
- in a car 0.3 seconds faster in qualifying, disregarding the team mates’ pace
- by contenders retiring, unless he was already faster in the race before they retired
If we would actually take the pace of the team mate as a standard for the car’s speed, both would have had more ‘normal wins’.
This also disregards whether or not a competitor’s car had a faster race pace, which also adds more ‘normal wins’ to both.
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Lewis Hamilton – wins in fastest car
* Canada 2007: half a second faster in quali than anyone else
* United States 2007: McLaren half a second faster than Ferrari’s
* Hungary 2007: McLaren over fastest car by half a second
* Australia 2008: McLaren half a second faster than Massa
* China 2008: McLaren almost half a second faster than Ferrari’s
* Singapore 2009: McLaren fastest car by half a second
Lewis Hamilton – wins in special conditions
* Japan 2007: rain, rain, rain
* Monaco 2008: drying race, lost lots of time in the dry
* England 2008: rain, later drying, Ferrari’s were nowhere in wet
* Turkey 2010: would not have won if not for the Red Bull crash
* Belgium 2010: drying race
* China 2011: drying race, tire advantage
Lewis Hamilton – ‘normal’ wins (25%)
* Germany 2008
* Hungary 2009
* Canada 2010
* Germany 2011
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Sebastian Vettel – wins in fastest car
* England 2009: almost half a second faster in quali
* Valencia 2010: almost half a second faster in quali
* Japan 2010: almost half a second faster in quali
* Australia 2011: almost a second faster in quali
* Turkey 2011: half a second faster in quali
* Monaco 2011: almost half a second faster in quali
* Valencia 2011: almost half a second faster in quali
* Belgium 2011: half a second faster in quali
* Italy 2011: half a second faster in quali
* Singapore 2011: almost half a second faster in quali
Sebastian Vettel – wins in special conditions
* Italy 2008: rain, rain, rain
* China 2009: rain
* Malaysia 2010: rain in qualifying
* Brazil 2010: rain in qualifying
Sebastian Vettel – ‘normal’ wins (21%)
* Japan 2009
* Abu Dhabi 2009
* Malaysia 2011
* Spain 2011