I’d rule Alonso out of 2nd for the championship, Ferrari seem to be slipping ever further away and the fact that Alonso finished 2nd in the race last night goes to show how good the man is as a driver, but there is only so much that talent can overcome when it comes to F1.
So with that in mind I think it will come down to either Hamilton or Raikkonen. If the rumours of Kimi trying find other drives are true, then it may suggest that he isn’t happy with Lotus in some way, whether it is their lack of money, lack of development throughout the entire season, or something else, then I suggest that leaves me with one driver for 2nd.
I think after these two races that suit Ferrari, they will drop off again like they did in July. Alonso could possibly win at Monza, with Massa high up, but then Hamilton comes back. Hamilton could get at least one more win, possibly Austin.
Given the performance of the Mercedes, I would have to say Hamilton. Alonso and Raikkonen have been blowing hot and cold these past few races, whereas Hamilton has scored 4 poles in a row and has had front-running pace on 3 of those occasions.