I don’t care who wins, as long as it’s not Franchitti.
If he doesn’t get involved in something on track / has technical issues of some sort, there’s virtually no chance Franchitti won’t end up in the top 5. Same goes for Dixon. Almost identical grid positions for both of them as last year, as well.
However, if I were to name someone besides the usual suspects (Franchitti, Dixon, Castroneves), I’d say Carpenter has a good chance here (he’s not the class of the field but when he catches a good weekend once in a while, he can pull off some surprise moves, especially on the ovals – Fontana 2012 is just an example) or one of the Andretti cars, be it Marco, Hunter-Reay or (why not?!) Munoz (they’ve showed very good speed so far).
The real surprise however would be Will Power…