Monaco could be Mercedes’ best chance for victory

2013 Monaco Grand Prix preview

Start, Monaco, 2012Three drivers have shared the victories in the first five rounds of 2013 but there’s a good chance that could change this weekend.

Qualifying position is everything at Monaco. That’s good news for Mercedes, who have been the team to beat on Saturday this year but are yet to score a win. Spanish Grand Prix victor Fernando Alonso has already tipped them as favourites to win in Monaco.

If Mercedes can extend their run of pole positions to four in a row they will be in an excellent position to score their first victory of 2013. They came close last year: Michael Schumacher was quickest in qualifying but a penalty dropped him to sixth on the grid. Nico Rosberg started second and finished there.

The high degradation and frequent pit stops seen during the Spanish race provoked intense debate over whether F1 has gone too far in using tyres that degrade quickly to produce close racing. But the slow Monaco course sees the lowest rates of wear and degradation of the season.

Pirelli’s soft compounds did not tempt any of the leading drivers to make more than the mandatory single pit stop last year. But that was not the case the year before.

Monte-Carlo circuit information

Lap length 3.34km (2.075 miles)
Distance 78 laps (260.5km/161.9 miles)
Lap record* 1’14.439 (Michael Schumacher, 2004)
Fastest lap 1’13.532 (Kimi Raikkonen, 2006)
Tyres Soft and Super-soft

*Fastest lap set during a Grand Prix

Monte-Carlo track data in full

In 2011, with tyres approximately as aggressive as today’s, the top three finishers all used different strategies. Sebastian Vettel attempted a one-stopper, nursing his tyres from lap 17 until the chequered flag. Behind him Alonso stopped twice and Jenson Button three times. The pair were running nose-to-tail when a crash blocked the track, forcing a red flag which conspired to rob us of an exciting finish.

With Pirelli bringing the softest tyres in their range again this weekend, there’s a chance the race won’t be decided on Saturday afternoon. Monaco specialist Pastor Maldonado described qualifying as being worth “probably 70% of the weekend” but in seasons past that figure would have been closer to 100%.

Unlike most circuits on the calendar this year, Monaco will have just one DRS zone, simply because there isn’t space to safely install another one in a place where it might be worthwhile on this tight, narrow and punishing course.

Monaco Grand Prix team-by-team preview

Red Bull

Red Bull are looking for their fourth consecutive win in F1’s most prestigious race. Vettel has two wins to his name already this year but Webber has excellent form at the principality and claimed two of the team’s previous victories here.

They have been closest to Mercedes on one-lap pace but have fared much better in the races, which should make them strong contenders this weekend.

Ferrari

Fernando Alonso, Ferrari, Circuit de Cataunya, Barcelona, 2013The last win for the prancing horse in Monaco was 12 years ago. Qualifying remains the weakest part of their game and that will count against them here.

But Alonso’s formidable abilities mean he is always a contender. The two-time Monaco Grand Prix winner might need a bit of help from his strategy to get ahead but if his Ferrari gets a glimpse of daylight in the race he’ll be hard to stop.

McLaren

McLaren will bring further upgrades for the recalcitrant MP4-28 this weekend despite the cramped Monaco track being the worst place to test them.

This is a drivers’ track, however, and that presents Button and Sergio Perez the opportunity to drag the car into the final ten and collect out some useful points.

Lotus

Like Ferrari, Lotus have great race pace but are missing that final tenth in qualifying which will create problems for them in Monaco. However Kimi Raikkonen has seen the front row of the grid once already this year so don’t rule him out.

Team mate Romain Grosjean was unable to carry his resurgence in form into the last race as he was sidelined with a suspension problem early on. Monaco was where things started to go wrong for him last year and he will need to exercise all of his new-found caution on the run to the first corner.

Mercedes

Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes, Circuit de Catalunya, Barcelona, 2013Mercedes are the early favourites for pole position (and, therefore, victory) but there’s not much to choose between their two drivers at the moment.

Lewis Hamilton has a great flair for Monaco and won in the rain in 2008. But Rosberg started the last two races from pole and had a good run here last year as well.

Sauber

Of the three teams who most needed to improve their car in Spain, Sauber seemed to find more performance than Williams or McLaren. This wasn’t entirely realised in the race due to Nico Hulkenberg’s pit lane crash and Esteban Gutierrez’s grid penalty, so they will need to maek good on it here.

Force India

Surely Adrian Sutil’s bad luck has to come to an end soon? If pit stop problems haven’t been wrecking his races he’s been hit by other drivers.

And if any track owes him one, it’s Monaco. In 2008 he was on course to give Force India their first points score, running fourth with nine laps to go, when he was taken out by Raikkonen.

Williams

Maldonado needs to make good on his reputation as a Monaco specialist this weekend if he is to bring home the first points of 2013 for Williams.

He could also do with a decisive showing against team mate Valtteri Bottas, who’s out-qualified him 3-2 so far this year. Bottas will do well to repeat that on his first visit to this demanding track where his team mate is very strong.

Toro Rosso

Jean-Eric Vergne, Toro Rosso, Monaco 2012There’s still everything to play for between the two Toro Rosso drivers but it’s Jean-Eric Vergne who’s on the back foot at the moment. He ran seventh for several laps during last year’s race but a late pit stop dropped him out of the points.

Caterham

Caterham not only convincingly defeated Marussia in Spain, they were close to one of the Williams drivers at the end of the race too.

Last year Heikki Kovalainen resisted pressure from Button’s McLaren for lap after lap at Monaco. Can either of the team’s young charges replicate his heroics this weekend?

Marussia

Marussia have finished behind Caterham in the last two races but remain ahead in the constructors’ championship. However Monaco often sees a lot of retirements and Marussia will need to ensure they, and not their rivals, are the ones to capitalise. It was at this race last year they first lost the initiative in the championship to Caterham.

2013 driver form

Driver G avg R avg R best R worst Classified Form guide
Sebastian Vettel 3.2 2.6 1 4 5/5 Form guide
Mark Webber 8.6 5 2 7 4/5 Form guide
Fernando Alonso 3.8 3 1 8 4/5 Form guide
Felipe Massa 4.8 6.6 3 15 5/5 Form guide
Jenson Button 9.8 9.8 5 17 5/5 Form guide
Sergio Perez 11.2 9.2 6 11 5/5 Form guide
Kimi Raikkonen 6.2 2.8 1 7 5/5 Form guide
Romain Grosjean 8.4 7 3 10 4/5 Form guide
Nico Rosberg 3.6 6.33 4 9 3/5 Form guide
Lewis Hamilton 3.8 5.6 3 12 5/5 Form guide
Nico Hulkenberg 12.4 11.25 8 15 4/4 Form guide
Esteban Gutierrez 18 13.5 11 18 4/5 Form guide
Paul di Resta 10 6.75 4 8 4/5 Form guide
Adrian Sutil 10.4 11 7 13 3/5 Form guide
Pastor Maldonado 16.2 13 11 14 3/5 Form guide
Valtteri Bottas 16.2 13.6 11 16 5/5 Form guide
Jean-Eric Vergne 14.6 11.33 10 12 3/5 Form guide
Daniel Ricciardo 11.6 12.75 7 18 4/5 Form guide
Charles Pic 20.4 16 14 17 5/5 Form guide
Giedo van der Garde 20.4 18 15 21 4/5 Form guide
Jules Bianchi 19 16 13 19 5/5 Form guide
Max Chilton 20.4 17.8 16 20 5/5 Form guide

Are you going to the Monaco Grand Prix?

If you’re heading to Monaco for this weekend’s race, we want to hear from you.

We’ve got a dedicated group and forum for people going to the race.

You can embed your pictures from the race via Flickr and videos via YouTube and other major video-sharing accounts. Join in here:

Over to you

Who do you think will be the team to beat in the Monaco Grand Prix? Have your say below.

And don’t forget to enter your predictions for this weekend’s race. You can edit your predictions until the start of qualifying:

2013 Monaco Grand Prix

Browse all 2013 Monaco Grand Prix articles

Images ?é?® Daimler/Hoch Zwei, Ferrari/Ercole Colombo, Red Bull/Getty

Advert | Go Ad-free

53 comments on Monaco could be Mercedes’ best chance for victory

  1. bull mello (@bullmello) said on 21st May 2013, 19:26

    Mercedes race to lose. Their qualifying has been superior so far this season and this track suits their car in the race for many reasons already outlined. I would like to believe Hamilton is the fastest of the two Mercedes drivers, but qualifying will come down to which one makes the fewest mistakes, however slight.

    The other drivers with the best chances, in my mind, are Webber, Kimi and Alonso. The Ferrari could qualify well and at the same time that could be Kimi’s downfall unless he pulls out a stunning lap.

    At least this race has a chance of quieting the grand tire hoopla for a few moments. Thank goodness!

    In 1980 I walked the streets of Monte Carlo, by the Casino and all over. All I could think about was I was walking right where the F1 cars raced through. I could almost feel the roar and smell the fumes. What a wonderful spectacle of motor racing the Monaco Grand Prix is. Even if the overtaking leaves something to be desired, the thrill of keeping the car on course while driving streets crazy for racing while driving in anger is amazing. Love the in car shots, it really puts things in perspective. I’m ready!

  2. Pennyroyal tea (@peartree) said on 21st May 2013, 19:46

    It should be very similar to last year’s race, I don’t believe that the tyres will behave any different to last year’s race too.

  3. montreal95 (@montreal95) said on 22nd May 2013, 1:45

    I really hope that Mark Webber wins this one. It’ll bring him back into the championship race but more importantly it’ll put him into the exclusive club of only 6 triple(or more) Monaco winners. He’s got a chance, but so have many others. It’s too close a call to be able to predict anything IMO

  4. Dane (@n0b0dy100) said on 22nd May 2013, 2:37

    Mercedes will be on the front row, but The Iceman will one stop it and take the win!

  5. KaIIe (@kaiie) said on 22nd May 2013, 8:20

    “And if any track owes him [Sutil] one, it’s Monaco. In 2008 he was on course to give Force India their first points score, running fourth with nine laps to go, when he was taken out by Raikkonen.”

    But wasn’t it revealed later that Sutil had actually passed under yellows and was about to receive a penalty for it?

  6. SeaHorse (@seahorse) said on 22nd May 2013, 9:38

    The way the qualifying pace of different cars has turned out, I feel Red Bull will be the team to beat provided Ferrari and Lotus have not improved on their qualy pace and Mercedes have not sorted their overheating and race pace issues.

  7. Todfod (@todfod) said on 22nd May 2013, 9:39

    They’ve definitely got a chance at a front row lockout… but I would be surprised if both Merc drivers are on the podium at the end of the race.

    I have a feeling the pole sitter will finish on the podium but the P2 driver will slip down the field.

    I’m actually pretty excited about this Monaco GP… I have a feeling its going to be the best one I’ve seen since 2008

  8. Force Maikel (@force-maikel) said on 22nd May 2013, 12:22

    Why is everyone so fixated on a merc pole? I for one expect nothing less than a front row start for both red bulls. I wouldn’t dare however to put money on who of the two will get it though. Look at the facts Monaco has low tyre wear and degradation; it is also a downforce heavy track, probably 1-2 pit stops during the race. All of this is playing right into Red Bulls hands. The only one who could spoil the party in my view is Räikkönen. If he can stay out long enough on his first set of super softs and match Red Bulls pace on the soft. Then he could be the man to watch, given he qualifies in the top 4 that is ;-)

  9. sonia luff (@sonia54) said on 22nd May 2013, 19:57

    I’m going with Kimi to win. Hammy has done nothing here in F1 since his only win in 2008. Webber goes well here too so expect him to be on the podium.

Add your comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

All comments must abide by the comment policy. Comments may be moderated.
Want to post off-topic? Head to the forum.
See the FAQ for more information.