Lotus poised to press Maldonado and Alonso for victory
2012 Spanish Grand Prix pre-race analysis
F1 stands a good chance of seeing another new winner this weekend: four of the top five drivers on the grid are yet to win a race this year.
Can Pastor Maldonado emulate Nico Rosberg by turning his maiden pole position into a maiden win?
Will Lotus go one better than they did last time out and grab a win?
Or could Fernando Alonso deliver a fairytale home victory in Spain? Let’s take a look at the race ahead.
The start
Lewis Hamilton’s penalty has left us with an unusual grid for tomorrow’s race, headed by Pastor Maldonado and Fernando Alonso.
The Circuit de Catalunya has one of the longest runs to turn one of the year, so a good start is crucial. As Alonso showed last year, a good getaway can make a huge different – he took the lead from fifth here 12 months ago.
Hamilton’s relegation to last place has not just moved everyone else up a place – it has also switched them from dirty side to the clean side of the track, and vice-versa. Maldonado, Grosjean, Perez and the other odd-numbered starters all have the benefit of a slightly cleaner, grippier line.
As for Hamilton, he now starts from the back of the grid (or the pits if his team so choose) with no fresh sets of soft tyres and just two fresh sets of hard tyres. This kind of frustration is exactly what produced the worst in his driving last year, and the slog back into the points he faces will be a significant test of his resolve.
Strategy
After two days of warm, dry running in Spain Sunday could bring some significant changes.
Heavy rain at the circuit overnight will have washed much of the rubber build-up of the last few days away. This seems to affect the current Pirellis less than the previous Bridgestones, which responded to a gradual build-up of rubber by giving greater improvements in lap-time, and lacking grip when the rubber disappeared.
There is only an outside chance of rain falling during the race but track temperatures are expected to be cooler, which may help drivers with their tyre life.
“Tyre performance will be a critical factor,” said Alonso. “We will have to be careful, because the forecast is for different temperatures to today and that could throw up some surprises.”
A fired-up Alonso is well-placed to compete for the win, but his upgraded Ferrari did not have the best pace over a race stint on Friday.
Lotus looked extremely strong in this respect. Curiously, they did not repeat their Bahrain tactics of saving soft tyres: “We used three sets of soft tyres to go through qualifying, but we have two new sets of the hard compound Pirelli tyres” said trackside operations director Alan Permane.
Other teams, such as Red Bull, made saving new soft tyres a priority. At this stage it’s impossible to say who’s got it right – that will unfold when the pit stops begin tomorrow.
Qualifying times in full
| Driver | Car | Q1 | Q2 (vs Q1) | Q3 (vs Q2) | |
| 1 | Pastor Maldonado | Williams | 1’23.380 | 1’22.105 (-1.275) | 1’22.285 (+0.180) |
| 2 | Fernando Alonso | Ferrari | 1’23.276 | 1’22.862 (-0.414) | 1’22.302 (-0.560) |
| 3 | Romain Grosjean | Lotus | 1’23.248 | 1’22.667 (-0.581) | 1’22.424 (-0.243) |
| 4 | Kimi Raikkonen | Lotus | 1’23.406 | 1’22.856 (-0.550) | 1’22.487 (-0.369) |
| 5 | Sergio Perez | Sauber | 1’24.261 | 1’22.773 (-1.488) | 1’22.533 (-0.240) |
| 6 | Nico Rosberg | Mercedes | 1’23.370 | 1’22.882 (-0.488) | 1’23.005 (+0.123) |
| 7 | Sebastian Vettel | Red Bull | 1’23.850 | 1’22.884 (-0.966) | |
| 8 | Michael Schumacher | Mercedes | 1’23.757 | 1’22.904 (-0.853) | |
| 9 | Kamui Kobayashi | Sauber | 1’23.386 | 1’22.897 (-0.489) | |
| 10 | Jenson Button | McLaren | 1’23.510 | 1’22.944 (-0.566) | |
| 11 | Mark Webber | Red Bull | 1’23.592 | 1’22.977 (-0.615) | |
| 12 | Paul di Resta | Force India | 1’23.852 | 1’23.125 (-0.727) | |
| 13 | Nico Hulkenberg | Force India | 1’23.720 | 1’23.177 (-0.543) | |
| 14 | Jean-Eric Vergne | Toro Rosso | 1’24.362 | 1’23.265 (-1.097) | |
| 15 | Daniel Ricciardo | Toro Rosso | 1’23.906 | 1’23.442 (-0.464) | |
| 16 | Felipe Massa | Ferrari | 1’23.886 | 1’23.444 (-0.442) | |
| 17 | Bruno Senna | Williams | 1’24.981 | ||
| 18 | Vitaly Petrov | Caterham | 1’25.277 | ||
| 19 | Heikki Kovalainen | Caterham | 1’25.507 | ||
| 20 | Charles Pic | Marussia | 1’26.582 | ||
| 21 | Timo Glock | Marussia | 1’27.032 | ||
| 22 | Pedro de la Rosa | HRT | 1’27.555 | ||
| 23 | Narain Karthikeyan | HRT | 1’31.122 | ||
| 24 | Lewis Hamilton | McLaren | 1’22.583 | 1’22.465 (-0.118) | 1’21.707 (-0.758) |
Unusually, Maldonado set pole position (after Hamilton’s penalty) with a slower time in Q3 than he had set in Q2.
Sector times
| Driver | Sector 1 | Sector 2 | Sector 3 |
| Pastor Maldonado | 22.787 (4) | 30.947 (4) | 28.321 (1) |
| Fernando Alonso | 22.878 (6) | 30.994 (6) | 28.430 (3) |
| Romain Grosjean | 22.737 (3) | 30.952 (5) | 28.677 (7) |
| Kimi Raikkonen | 22.652 (2) | 31.080 (7) | 28.718 (11) |
| Sergio Perez | 22.921 (9) | 30.935 (2) | 28.608 (5) |
| Nico Rosberg | 22.994 (11) | 31.249 (10) | 28.617 (6) |
| Sebastian Vettel | 23.096 (16) | 31.211 (8) | 28.577 (4) |
| Michael Schumacher | 22.913 (7) | 31.278 (11) | 28.713 (9) |
| Kamui Kobayashi | 22.866 (5) | 30.945 (3) | 28.897 (17) |
| Jenson Button | 22.916 (8) | 31.280 (12) | 28.680 (8) |
| Mark Webber | 22.982 (10) | 31.281 (13) | 28.714 (10) |
| Paul di Resta | 23.045 (12) | 31.300 (14) | 28.780 (12) |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 23.139 (17) | 31.230 (9) | 28.808 (14) |
| Jean-Eric Vergne | 23.052 (13) | 31.412 (15) | 28.801 (13) |
| Daniel Ricciardo | 23.058 (14) | 31.533 (17) | 28.851 (15) |
| Felipe Massa | 23.069 (15) | 31.510 (16) | 28.865 (16) |
| Bruno Senna | 23.150 (18) | 31.544 (18) | 29.500 (19) |
| Vitaly Petrov | 23.431 (19) | 32.063 (19) | 29.783 (20) |
| Heikki Kovalainen | 23.815 (20) | 32.319 (20) | 29.373 (18) |
| Charles Pic | 23.999 (21) | 32.705 (21) | 29.878 (21) |
| Timo Glock | 24.113 (22) | 32.815 (22) | 30.041 (22) |
| Pedro de la Rosa | 24.186 (23) | 33.058 (23) | 30.268 (23) |
| Narain Karthikeyan | 25.161 (24) | 34.128 (24) | 31.833 (24) |
| Lewis Hamilton | 22.616 (1) | 30.751 (1) | 28.340 (2) |
Speed trap
| Pos | Driver | Car | Speed (kph/mph) | Gap |
| 1 | Romain Grosjean | Lotus | 323.2 (200.8) | |
| 2 | Kimi Raikkonen | Lotus | 323.1 (200.8) | -0.1 |
| 3 | Daniel Ricciardo | Toro Rosso | 319.4 (198.5) | -3.8 |
| 4 | Jean-Eric Vergne | Toro Rosso | 318.9 (198.2) | -4.3 |
| 5 | Lewis Hamilton | McLaren | 318.3 (197.8) | -4.9 |
| 6 | Jenson Button | McLaren | 318.2 (197.7) | -5.0 |
| 7 | Paul di Resta | Force India | 317.8 (197.5) | -5.4 |
| 8 | Nico Hulkenberg | Force India | 317.4 (197.2) | -5.8 |
| 9 | Michael Schumacher | Mercedes | 316.7 (196.8) | -6.5 |
| 10 | Nico Rosberg | Mercedes | 316.5 (196.7) | -6.7 |
| 11 | Heikki Kovalainen | Caterham | 315.6 (196.1) | -7.6 |
| 12 | Fernando Alonso | Ferrari | 315.5 (196.0) | -7.7 |
| 13 | Felipe Massa | Ferrari | 315.5 (196.0) | -7.7 |
| 14 | Vitaly Petrov | Caterham | 315.5 (196.0) | -7.7 |
| 15 | Kamui Kobayashi | Sauber | 315.5 (196.0) | -7.7 |
| 16 | Bruno Senna | Williams | 313.8 (195.0) | -9.4 |
| 17 | Sergio Perez | Sauber | 313.7 (194.9) | -9.5 |
| 18 | Pastor Maldonado | Williams | 313.7 (194.9) | -9.5 |
| 19 | Mark Webber | Red Bull | 311.2 (193.4) | -12.0 |
| 20 | Sebastian Vettel | Red Bull | 311.1 (193.3) | -12.1 |
| 21 | Narain Karthikeyan | HRT | 310.8 (193.1) | -12.4 |
| 22 | Charles Pic | Marussia | 310.7 (193.1) | -12.5 |
| 23 | Pedro de la Rosa | HRT | 310.6 (193.0) | -12.6 |
| 24 | Timo Glock | Marussia | 310.4 (192.9) | -12.8 |
2012 Spanish Grand Prix
- Maldonado voted Spanish GP Driver of the Weekend
- Spanish Grand Prix gets highest rating for five years
- F1 fans’ videos from the 2012 Spanish Grand Prix
- Force India expect more from Barcelona upgrade
- Top ten pictures from the Spanish Grand Prix
Image © Lotus F1 Team/LAT




AdrianMorse (@adrianmorse) said on 13th May 2012, 7:07
As far as I can recall, surprise pole sitters have the tendency to fall back fairly quickly. I hope Maldonado bucks this trend, and at least leads at the first corner, so we can see what the Williams can do leading the field. I’m still not a Maldonado fan, but I’d love to see Williams win and he will be the one that has to get the job done.
My prediction of Grosjean winning the race is still looking good (I even predicted a time of 1m22.4 in qualifying for him, although I thought that would have been him on pole), and Webber in fourth also looks eminently possible. Hamilton in 3, though, is looking a little less likely.
evolutionut (@evolutionut) said on 13th May 2012, 9:35
alonso lost 12 places in first lap this year? srsly? :)
alexf1man (@alexf1man) said on 13th May 2012, 10:00
Is there actually going to be some overtaking today? Or just a mainly DRS assisted procession?
AndrewTanner (@andrewtanner) said on 13th May 2012, 11:14
@alexf1man Given how screwed up the grid is I’m sure we’ll get plenty of both types.
Aditya (@) said on 13th May 2012, 10:59
Keith,, there appears to be a few mistakes in the article. Maldonado, Alonso, Raikkonen and Grosjean certainly have not been among the worst starters and Alonso qualified fourth here last year, not fifth as it is written in the article. I hope you will take note of all that.